Monday, August 3, 2020

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August 03, 2020 View Online | Sign Up
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Good morning. This and next week at the Brew are all about audience participation (promise it'll be more fun than at an a cappella concert).
We have more than 2 million smart, hilarious readers, and we want to showcase your smartness and your hilarity to the entire Brew community. So, keep an eye out for sections of the newsletter where you can contribute. For example, today we're accepting submissions to create the Brew Crossword for next Monday. Scroll down for details. 

MARKETS YTD PERFORMANCE


NASDAQ
10,745.27
+ 19.76%
S&P
3,271.12
+ 1.25%
DJIA
26,428.32
- 7.39%
GOLD
1,994.00
+ 31.18%
10-YR
0.535%
- 138.50 bps
OIL
40.43
- 33.95%
*As of market close
  • Markets: We summited the earnings mountain last week with dozens of big names and are now on the way back down, which should give stocks a bit of a breather. So far, reporting S&P 500 companies performed better than expected in Q2 (though "expected" was a profit drop of more than 40%). 
  • Crypto: Bitcoin had itself an eventful weekend, rising above $12,000 before dipping slightly. It’s significantly outpaced gold and the major equities indexes this year.
Francis Scialabba
This weekend, it became clear that TikTok as we know it is coming to an end in the U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said yesterday there’s a general consensus among American leadership that “TikTok cannot stay in the current format” because of risks over Americans’ personal data. 
  • TikTok is owned by Chinese tech company ByteDance, which could be compelled by law to hand over user information to the Chinese government. 

So what happens next? 

There seem to be two options: 1) ban or 2) sell to an American company. 
This weekend, President Trump said he was choosing door number one—banning Tiktok from operating in the U.S. But...he didn’t, which adds further speculation to the idea that his “ban” announcement was a negotiating tactic to extract further concessions from ByteDance in the event of a sale.
So what about a sale? Microsoft, which is as American as subscribing to too many newsletters, confirmed last night it's been talking to ByteDance about acquiring TikTok's service in the U.S., Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. The company said it'll "move quickly" to reach a deal, and will finish up negotiations by Sept. 15 latest. 

What an acquisition would mean for Microsoft 

It’s worth noting Microsoft was the only member of “Big Tech” that was absent from last week’s antitrust hearing. The company has focused on business customers rather than individual customers, and, with a market value of nearly $1.6 trillion, that’s been a pretty successful strategy.
A TikTok acquisition would change that. Yes, Microsoft does have consumer-focused units already, most notably Xbox, which reported 65% sales growth last quarter. But its recent acquisitions—LinkedIn, GitHub, and a crowd of smaller startups to support its cloud business—were a play for the enterprise segment.
  • A deal for TikTok would put Microsoft in unfamiliar—but also exciting—territory. TikTok has only just begun to monetize its exploding user base. 
Bottom line: With several Republican senators, including China hawks, comfortable with a sale to an American company, the smart money is on Microsoft pulling this one off. But the decision is President Trump's to make. 
        

COVID-19

Coronavirus Around the World

The single most important factor for the health of the global economy is how well countries contain the virus. Here’s the latest…
The U.S.: not containing it well. White House coronavirus task force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx told CNN yesterday the coronavirus is more widespread than before, impacting rural as well as urban areas.  
Australia: Officials in the state of Victoria declared a “state of disaster” yesterday after recording record numbers of new cases over the last week. That means the city of Melbourne will be placed under a curfew from 8pm to 5am for the next six weeks.
Norway: The first company to start up international cruises since they were all canceled reported 36 crew members tested positive for the coronavirus. Nearly 400 guests on two cruises have been asked to self-quarantine.
Vietnam: The country will test all 1.1 million residents of the city of Danang after it was linked to a new outbreak. The number of coronavirus deaths in Vietnam, a country of 95 million people, remains in the single digits.
        


Giphy
Bob Behnken and Doug Hurley—the astronauts aboard SpaceX’s Dragon Endeavour capsule—executed the world’s highest cannonball yesterday. They splashed down in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Florida after spending the last two-ish months aboard the International Space Station.
It’s a big deal, because rockets, SpaceX, Elon Musk, etc. But it’s also historic: This is the first time in 45 years that astronauts from any nation have returned to Earth via splashdown. 
While any homecoming from space is complicated, SpaceX and NASA had to contend with the additional challenge presented by Tropical Storm Isaias, which was lashing Florida’s east coast around the same time the craft landed.
  • But if there’s one good thing about Florida...it’s a peninsula, so the astronauts splashed down on the opposite coast where the weather was much calmer.   
Zoom out: The astronauts’ safe return was the final step in certifying Musk’s SpaceX to begin routine, operational spaceflights to the ISS. He had this to say about it:
Elon Musk's Twitter feed
        

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Giphy
Now that August is here a clearer picture of July’s #StopHateForProfit movement, in which 1,000+ brands including Unilever, The North Face, Heineken, and Chipotle staged a public advertising boycott of Facebook, is coming into focus. 

It's just a flesh wound

On its earnings call Thursday, Facebook said ad revenue grew 10% annually in the first three weeks of July. Zuck said, “some seem to wrongly assume that our business is dependent on a few large advertisers.”
  • Some numbers: Throughout most of July in 2019, the top 100 advertisers on FB spent $251.4 million. In 2020, that number was 12% lower, according to data from Pathmatics. 
  • Some perspective: Facebook raked in $18.7 billion—with a “B”—in revenue in Q2. The top 100 spenders contributed 16% of those sales. 
Bottom line: The leaders of the boycott said it won’t formally continue past July because of the strain it puts on businesses that rely on the platform for marketing. But the movement as a whole “will get bigger and broader” until they feel Facebook takes meaningful action “to mitigate the damage it causes.”
        

CALENDAR

The Week Ahead

'Tis the week to finally make Robert Pattinson's quarantine pasta recipe
Monday: ISM Manufacturing Index; earnings (Clorox, Tyson Foods, HSBC); 1 year anniversary of mass shooting in an El Paso, TX, Walmart 
Tuesday: Earnings (Disney, Sony, Activision Blizzard, Planet Fitness); new Twilight novel
Wednesday: ADP employment report; Samsung will unveil lots of new hardware at its Unpacked event; earnings (Wayfair, New York Times, Square, Humana, Etsy, Wendy’s)
Thursday: Jobless claims; PGA Championship begins; earnings (Bristol-Myers Squibb, ViacomCBS, Booking Holdings, Uber, Zillow, Adidas, Siemens, Nintendo, Toyota) 
Friday: July jobs report; earnings (Berkshire Hathaway)
        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Marathon Petroleum will sell its Speedway convenience store chain to the owner of 7-Eleven for $21 billion. It would be the biggest corporate acquisition since the pandemic began.
  • Lord & Taylor, the U.S.' oldest department store, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. 
  • Siemens Healthineers (a German medical tech company, not a minor league baseball team) agreed to buy Varian Medical Systems for about $16.4 billion. 
  • Eastman Kodak’s executive chairman was granted options for 1.75 million shares last Monday based on a previous “understanding” with the board, Reuters reports. Those options are now worth tens of millions after last week’s stock surge.
  • MLB drew much higher ratings for its first week than a year ago. Commissioner Rob Manfred is determined to keep the season alive in spite of some players testing positive for the coronavirus and others ghosting the Mets.

BREW'S BETS

Green may be gettin’ legalized; put some in your wallet. This little-known Canadian company could be in line to generate a whole ’lotta profits off the coming legalization boom. If you want to get in on the green action, sign up for Motley Fool Stock Advisor.*
Donation suggestions: Mackenzie Scott (formerly Bezos) is the fourth-richest woman in the world and has pledged to donate the majority of her wealth. She listed the 116 organizations she’s given back to already. 
Quarantine idea: Build a labyrinth in your backyard. This guy is one of the world’s leading experts, or learn more about the labyrinth community here.
*This is sponsored advertising content

FROM THE CREW

Start Talking

On Mondays, we'll present some of the thorniest business topics of the day, give you a jumping-off point, and encourage you to debate it with friends, family, and coworkers.
This week’s topic: As Democrats and Republicans continue to debate a new round of COVID-19 relief, one point of contention is whether businesses should be held liable if someone contracts COVID-19 on premise. For Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a relief bill without liability protections is a nonstarter. 
  1. What they’re both arguing (Vox)
  2. Proving a business acted negligently won’t be that easy (NPR)
  3. More employers are requiring COVID-19 liability waivers anyway (Roll Call)
  4. How effective are liability waivers? (ABA Journal)
  5. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and nearly 500 business associations say COVID-19 lawsuits could deter businesses from reopening (U.S. Chamber)
Audience participation alertGot a controversial business topic you want to see covered in Start Talking next week? Reply to this email with the topic and we'll select one from a reader for next Monday's edition. 

CROSSWORD


Crossword lovers, read this: We are now accepting submissions for the Brew Crossword next Monday. The details:
Now onto today's puzzle...sample clue: prickly critter (8 letters). 


Aug 03 - Matt Vespa,Kurt Schlichter,Scott Morefield,Gabriella Hoffman,Rachel Alexander and More

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Why Bill Clinton Is Earning His ‘Slick Willy’ Moniker After the Jeffrey Epstein Docs Were Unsealed

Time For Tough Love For The Euroweenies

These ‘Inconvenient’ Data Patterns Destroy the Established Coronavirus Narrative

Let’s Celebrate National Shooting Sports Month

Conservative Former Rep. Steve Stockman Gets COVID-19 in Prison While Convicted Murderer Gets to Leave


Obama's Nuclear Dance with the Devil

Identity Politics Is America's Kryptonite

Will the Left Pull Down Patton's Statues?

Who Else Is Sick of These Bullies?

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Video
Gov. Evers: Saying Abortionists 'Execute Babies' Is 'Blasphemy'
Trump blasts Schiff as 'political hack'

Pelosi's condescension offers some laughs
Pelosi open to border infrastructure
INVESTING
What Jesus Said About ‘Mask Wearers’

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Tipsheet
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DOJ Charges Florida Doctor with Health Care Fraud Over a Multi-Million-Dollar Scheme

NBA Players Reveal Why They Chose to Stand for the National Anthem

WATCH: SpaceX Astronauts Splash Down in the Gulf of Mexico

Border Patrol Agents Arrest Murder Suspect in DC Homicide Case

Bernie Confirms What We Knew About Progressives and a Biden Presidency

Rep. Karen Bass: I'm Not A Commie Lover, Just a Slow Learner

'Get the F**k Out My Way!': Black Man Goes Off on BLM Protestors

Why Dr. Birx Says the Coronavirus Pandemic Is Different Than in March

The Absurd Reason Why Pro-Life Protestors Were Arrested in DC

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Political Cartoons
Bearing Arms
Louisiana Teacher Who Brandished Gun In Viral Video Fired | Tom Knighton

 

Christopher Columbus
FEATURED EVENT
1492
Columbus's first transatlantic voyage begun

READ MORE
Stanley Baldwin
FEATURED BIOGRAPHY

Stanley Baldwin, 1st Earl Baldwin of Bewdley

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August 03

  SEE ALL BIOS ON THIS DAY

ALSO BORN ON THIS DAY
1977
Tom Brady
American football player
1926
Tony Bennett
American singer
1941
Martha Stewart
American entrepreneur and television personality
1934
Jonas Savimbi
Angolan politician
1867
Stanley Baldwin
prime minister of United Kingdom
1872
Haakon VII
king of Norway

MORE EVENTS ON THIS DAY
Henri Cartier-Bresson
2004: French photographer Henri Cartier-Bresson—who was a master of street photography, capturing what he called “the decisive moment”—died. [Test your knowledge of famous photographers.]
1992: The American revisionist western Unforgiven had its world premiere, and it later won four Academy Awards, including best director for Clint Eastwood , who also starred in the drama, and best picture. [How much do you know about the Academy Awards?]
Mary Lou Retton
1984: American gymnast Mary Lou Retton won the all-around event at the Los Angeles Games, becoming the first American woman to win an individual Olympic gold medal in gymnastics. [ Sort fact from fiction in our quiz about gymnastics.]
Martha Stewart
1941: American entrepreneur and domestic lifestyle innovator Martha Stewart was born.
Jesse Owens
1936: At the Olympics in Berlin, American track athlete Jesse Owens won the 100-metre event, his first of four Olympic gold medals. [ Was Jesse Owens snubbed by Adolf Hitler at the Berlin Olympics?]
Chicago White Sox team, 1919
1921: A day after being acquitted on insufficient evidence—largely because key evidence had disappeared from the grand jury files, eight Chicago White Sox players were banned from baseball for life, accused of receiving bribes to intentionally lose the 1919 World Series. [Read our list of seven unsportsmanlike sportsmen.]
SEE ALL EVENTS ON THIS DAY

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