TOGETHER WITH
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Good morning. Last
night, the U.S. joined Britain, Canada, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and
Mexico in approving Pfizer-BioNTech’s Covid-19 vaccine for emergency
use. What's next? Oh, just one of the greatest logistical challenges in modern history.
Enjoy the weekend!
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NASDAQ
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12,377.87
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- 0.23%
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S&P
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3,663.46
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- 0.13%
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DOW
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30,046.37
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+ 0.16%
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GOLD
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1,843.50
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+ 0.33%
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10-YR
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0.897%
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- 1.00 bps
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OIL
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46.56
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- 0.47%
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*As of market close
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D.C.: The Senate kicked the government shutdown can down the road, passing a temporary funding bill that’ll expire next Friday. Lawmakers will try to strike a Covid-19 relief deal before then.
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Markets: Huge IPOs and Disney’s big streaming announcements grabbed the headlines, but stocks in general fell this week in a rare setback.
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Giphy
If recent trends are any indication, bankers will be trading in their Patagonia vests for a flip flop tan.
Yesterday, Ken Moelis, the chairman and CEO of New York investment bank Moelis & Co., told Bloomberg he wouldn't stop his employees from moving to Florida.
- “We’re a talent
business,” he said. “I want to attract, I want to motivate, and I want
to retain the greatest talent in the world. And if that talent wants to
do it in Florida, that’s where we’ll support them.”
Moelis’s comments echo a string of other reports that show momentum swinging from the Big Apple to the Big Orange.
- Goldman Sachs is scouting out Florida locations for its asset management arm, Bloomberg wrote last week.
- Paul Singer’s hedge fund, Elliott Management, is moving its HQ to West Palm Beach from Midtown Manhattan, also according to Bloomberg.
Why now?
It’s not
exactly a secret that Florida is warmer than New York, boasts a cheaper
cost of living, and has world-class institutions like Publix. But banks
have been hesitant to allow their operations to leak out of New York
City because physical proximity was considered necessary for dealmaking.
Then the pandemic hit, and showed that some parts of finance can be
just as easily accomplished on Zoom as in physical boardrooms.
- Moelis said his 128 managing directors landed $72 billion of M&A deals since June 30—all without face-to-face meetings.
It’s not just finance…
And it’s not just New York bleeding business leaders. In an interview with the WSJ
this week, Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed rumors he had moved from
California to Texas. Musk said the notoriously expensive Silicon Valley
“has too much influence on the world,” and predicted the tech industry
would reduce its footprint there.
- Right on cue, software giant Oracle said yesterday it was moving its HQ from Redwood City, CA, to Austin, TX.
Bottom line: New
York and SF have built world-leading business ecosystems. But their
dominance could wane thanks to the pandemic’s disruption of office work
and Americans’ shifting priorities around quality of life.
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THOMAS COEX/AFP via Getty Images
The
impending Covid-19 vaccine rollout will give many sectors across
Corporate America the opportunity to shine. Let’s take a quick tour.
Retail: CVS
and Walgreens have been tapped to administer vaccines at tens of
thousands of long-term care facilities across the country, and CVS chief
Larry Merlo told CNBC his company is “ready to go.” Walmart’s been adding cold storage capabilities to handle the vaccine at more than 5,000 of its pharmacies.
Shipping: FedEx and UPS are carving up the U.S. like a Risk map as they prepare to rush the vaccine to administration sites. They’re confident that together they have the capacity to deliver both the life-saving shot and the Christmas sweater you sent your aunt.
Pharma: Turns out, developing a vaccine that can help end a global pandemic can make you a lot of money.
Pfizer and Moderna are expected to generate $32 billion in Covid-19
vaccine sales in 2021, according to Wall Street forecasts. Moderna did
just $60 million in revenue last year.
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Real Bros of Simi Valley
The S&P 500 had its best month ever
in November, churning out profits for Robinhood traders and
institutional heavy-hitters alike. But one cantankerous group of
investors got crushed: short sellers.
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A quick refresher: Short sellers make money when a company loses value.
This year
has been a roller coaster year for the Simon Cowells of the market. In
March, when markets crashed, the short fund index posted its biggest monthly gain ever.
But it’s
been nothing but pain ever since. Two of the most popular targets for
short sellers, Moderna and Tesla, have gained 702% and 629% this year,
respectively, wiping out short sellers’ March profits.
One approach is working
Targeting
companies like Nikola Motors that have recently gone public via a
special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Brand-new hedge fund XN
returned 46% in its first five months,
in part by betting against an “ever-expanding crop of newly public
companies,” founder Gaurav Kapadia told the Financial Times.
Bottom line: If XN’s strategy keeps working, it will be an outlier. Short-biased funds are on pace for their worst year on record.
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SPONSORED BY THE MOTLEY FOOL
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Actually, that has nothing to do with this ad. It’s just the song stuck in our heads atm.
We’re here with another insightful article created with our friends at The Motley Fool that contains everything you need to know about ETFs.
Apparently these low-attention investments require a bit of attention before making any moves. They may have lower costs and higher tax efficiencies than mutual funds, but there’s way more to it than that.
There are three things we think you should know before you jump on the ETF train—and The Motley Fool let us in on what they are.
Hopefully you’ll make the money. And then maybe you can go on that run.
Read our article here.
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DoorDash and
Airbnb both went public this week with massive stock price “pops.” On
Day 1 of trading, DoorDash shares closed 85% above their initial price,
while Airbnb’s rose more than 112% by market close.
No first-day-of-school jitters in 2020
Nineteen IPOs doubled their share prices on their first day of trading this year. In 2019, just three newly public companies did.
While
popping may be good for Rice Krispies, it’s more than just spilled milk
for pre-IPO shareholders. Just ask Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky, who won the
award for “most shook” live on Bloomberg yesterday.
- For Chesky, the gap between Airbnb’s debut share price of $68 and the $139/share it actually
opened at translates to billions of dollars of missed opportunity (had
the company initially sold its shares at that higher price).
Plus, these
first-day pops can make shares look soggy later. An inflated price that
later drops off creates a Splash Mountain-style stock chart—not a great
PowerPoint slide to show investors.
Looking ahead...more companies could go public via SPAC mergers and direct listings, two alternatives to an IPO process some are calling “broken.”
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Giphy
Yesterday, the South Korean automaker said it’s acquiring a controlling stake
in Boston Dynamics, the robot maker with the internet-famous dog, Spot,
for $1.1 billion. Whether you think Spot is oddly cute or straight out
of Black Mirror’s “Metalhead” episode, he could be a very good
buy (see what we did there?) to help Hyundai advance its autonomous
technology capabilities.
Some of the sectors Boston Dynamics’s tech might help with one day: self-driving vehicles, smart factories, and healthcare.
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Giphy
With
Hollywood production disrupted and an escape from reality in high
demand, shows about giant cannibal humanoids, high school superheroes,
and demon-possessed sisters are having a heyday.
- Over 100 million households around the world watched anime on Netflix this year, and an anime title in Japan just grossed over $200 million at the box office.
Sony saw
this surge, said “ok bet,” and bought anime streaming service
Crunchyroll from AT&T for $1.2 billion this week. What does it mean
for the growing anime industry and the wider streaming wars?
The Brew’s
senior anime correspondent, Jamie Wilde, said, “What’s the point of
having a senior anime correspondent if I don’t write an in-depth story
on this?” So she did.
Learn all about the anime industry here.
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New York City will halt indoor dining on Monday because of higher Covid-19 rates.
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Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline’s
Covid-19 vaccine will be delayed until at least the end of next year
after it failed to produce a strong enough immune response in older
people.
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The live events industry lost more than $30 billion this year because of the pandemic, according to a new report from Pollstar.
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Rep. Richard Neal,
the Democrat in charge of the House Ways and Means Committee,
encouraged the incoming Biden administration to strike a trade deal with
the EU and abandon President Trump’s China strategy.
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California, the home state of Google, is looking to join the DOJ’s antitrust lawsuit against Google.
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like you have enough wrapping paper? Heartbreaking. Instead of grabbing
more wrapping paper, try this life-changing trick.
Weekend conversation starters:
- What's a sentence that makes total sense in your industry but sounds like gibberish to an outsider?
- Kiss, Marry, Kill, WFH edition
- What’s a tiny market that will top $1 trillion in a decade or two?
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** A Note From Jamestown Invest
Investing
in Jamestown Invest 1, LLC’s common shares is speculative and involves
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December 12
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FEATURED BIOGRAPHY
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Edvard Munch
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FEATURED EVENT
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2000
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U.S. Supreme Court decision on the presidential election
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That winning in Georgia is the Radical Left’s ONLY chance at passing their RADICAL agenda.
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