Tuesday, January 5, 2021

BREW AND HEADLINES

 

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Good morning. How are everyone's New Year's resolutions going so far? This might be a fireable offense at a company called Morning Brew but...some writers here are trying to ditch the coffee habit. Trust us, writing this newsletter every single day gives you plenty of adrenaline.

See also: tea. 

MARKETS


NASDAQ

12,683.26

- 1.59%

S&P

3,693.73

- 1.66%

DOW

30,137.99

- 1.53%

GOLD

1,944.40

+ 2.60%

10-YR

0.916%

- 0.30 bps

OIL

47.52

- 2.06%

*As of market close

  • Markets: Stocks pulled back from their record highs yesterday, the first trading day of 2021.
  • Senate: The massively important Georgia runoff elections that will determine control of the Senate are being held today. GOP Sen. David Perdue is facing Democrat Jon Ossoff, and GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler is facing Democrat Raphael Warnock. 

Francis Scialabba

A union. The rift between Google employees and management continued to escalate Monday, when 226 workers revealed they had formed the Alphabet Workers Union, a reference to Google's parent company. 

  • The group will be supported by the Communications Workers of America, which operates in the IT and telecom industries.

Why it matters: In Silicon Valley, unions are rarer than personal style. Salaries aren't particularly contentious because they're already quite high, and the tech industry's globally scattered workforces are hard to organize, per the NYT. So this development is...a major development. 

But it's not surprising 

For years, Google employees have criticized management for their approach to issues including sexual harassment in the workplace, the company's work with the Pentagon, and treatment of contract workers. A few examples:

  • In 2018, more than 20,000 Googlers walked out of work to protest the company's handling of sexual assault claims.
  • That same year, thousands of employees signed a petition protesting Google's work with Project Maven, a Defense Department initiative that could theoretically improve the precision of drone strikes. Google discontinued the contract.
  • The most recent flashpoint was the December 2020 firing of leading AI ethics researcher Timnit Gebru, a Black woman who said Google dismissed her because she was fighting bias in algorithms.

In response to the new union, Google's Director of People Operations Kara Silverstein said, "We've always worked hard to create a supportive and rewarding workplace for our workforce. Of course, our employees have protected labor rights that we support. But as we've always done, we'll continue engaging directly with all our employees."

Zoom out: Other labor organizing efforts in tech are in the works. Kickstarter workers unionized last year, and Amazon warehouse workers in Alabama will likely vote in a few weeks on whether to form the company's first U.S. union. 

        

HEALTHCARE

If Bezos, Dimon, and Buffett Can't Do It...

Yesterday, Amazon, JPMorgan, and Berkshire Hathaway confirmed they're disbanding Haven, their high-profile, would-be healthcare disruptor. 

Investors were more excited for the joint venture's arrival in January 2018 than Bachelor nation was for last night's premiere. Haven's premature demise is a reminder that the U.S. healthcare sector is incredibly resistant to makeovers, even with three iconic American corporations working together.

What went wrong? 

A big part of the problem, CNBC reports, was that each company was also running separate healthcare projects, which sort of defeated the point of working together to tackle rising employee healthcare costs. 

  • After two years, Haven's biggest announcements were 1) its name and 2) no-deductible plans with wellness incentives for employees of Amazon, JPMorgan, and some Berkshire companies. 
  • The joint venture also faced departures from several high-profile execs, including CEO Atul Gawande last May. 

Looking ahead...even without Haven, Amazon has big healthcare plans, including the wearable health tracker Amazon Halo, virtual and in-person Amazon Care clinics for employees, new Alexa features, and prescription deliveries through its digital Amazon Pharmacy.

        

Wang HE/Getty Images

It's a question many in the business world have been asking this week. 

The billionaire founder of e-commerce giant Alibaba and its fintech affiliate, Ant Group, has not made a public appearance since he gave a controversial speech at a Chinese economic forum in late October.  

  • In that surprisingly aggressive speech, Ma criticized Chinese regulators for throwing a wet blanket on innovation in the financial sector. 

He got sent to the principal's office   

On November 2, a few days after the speech, Ma was called in by authorities for questioning. Ant's IPO, which was expected to be the largest in history, was nixed the next day. And after Ma missed an appearance as a judge on his own Shark Tank-esque TV show last week, raised eyebrows turned into raised alarms. 

Zoom out: Ma could be sipping Mai Tai's on a secluded beach for all we know, but given his recent run-ins with Chinese authorities, investors are starting to get antsy. Alibaba's stock fell a little over 3% yesterday.

        

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If 2020's focus was the healthcare response to the pandemic, 2021 "will overwhelmingly be about economic responses to Covid-19's lingering symptoms and scar tissue (debt burdens and misaligned politics)," Eurasia Group wrote in its 2021 political risk report, published yesterday. 

More than 7 billion people need to be vaccinated. Countries are facing higher unemployment, rising debt loads, and unequal recoveries. 

That's not even the No. 1 risk

So what's scarier than Covid-19? The U.S. government.

Specifically, a Joe Biden presidency hindered by a split Congress, growing political polarization, and unfounded allegations of a fraudulent election by outgoing President Donald Trump and other Republican lawmakers.

  • Fearing another "America First" president come 2024, foreign leaders may hesitate to coordinate action with the U.S. as they have following previous crises. 

Other risks identified by Eurasia Group: The challenge of executing net-zero emissions plans without global coordination. Ongoing U.S.-China tensions. The departure of German chancellor (and Europe's de facto leader) Angela Merkel. More cyberattacks. The collapse in oil demand weighing on energy-producing countries. And growing calls to rein in cross-border data flows.

        

SPORTS

Sometimes Plagiarism Is Okay

Especially when it comes to safety protocols for large sporting events involving tall humans and squeaky shoes. Yesterday, the NCAA announced it will be adopting an NBA-esque bubble approach to hosting its men's postseason basketball tournament, aka March Madness. 

  • Basketball-lovin’ Indiana is the locale of choice, with the majority of games taking place in multiple venues across Indianapolis.

Economically, it's a mixed bag

The Division I men's tournament generates around $868 million annually from television and marketing rights alone. That's the vast majority of the NCAA's annual revenue, so putting on a tournament at all after last year's cancellation would be a Hoosiers-level victory. 

Still, the 13 metro areas that typically host opening-round matchups will miss out on the economic activity generated by UMBC fans hitting the town to celebrate an upset win. 

Zoom out: While the NBA's bubble experiment for the 2020 season provided a blueprint for the NCAA, March Madness is a much bigger logistical challenge. Only 22 NBA teams entered the Orlando bubble, but 68 will arrive in Indiana this March.

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • The New York Stock Exchange reversed its decision to delist three major Chinese telecom companies.
  • British PM Boris Johnson ordered a nationwide lockdown until mid-February to combat the spread of the highly contagious new coronavirus variant. Schools and all nonessential retail must close.
  • That new variant has been found in infected people in several U.S. states, including New York.
  • Top business leaders pressed lawmakers to certify Joe Biden's victory in the presidential election when they convene tomorrow.
  • Slack suffered a major outage for several hours yesterday morning, disrupting WFH operations across the globe.
  • SkyBridge Capital, Anthony Scaramucci's hedge fund, is launching a bitcoin-focused fund. SkyBridge is down 7.5% on the year.
  • Important fast food updates: McDonald's is launching new chicken sandwiches and Chipotle added cauliflower rice for a limited time.

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Tech Tip Tuesday: Learn all about the hidden tricks behind "user experience" (UX) with this exclusive deep dive into Spotify's new Group Sessions feature. 

Career advice: a Twitter thread that will make you think differently. And more wisdom from Charlie Munger. 

Air frying a hot dog for 120 minutes: Don't try this at home.

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GAMES

Multiple Choice

Something named "Stellantis" was in the news yesterday. What is it? 

  1. The name of SpaceX's next-gen rocket
  2. A small cryptocurrency that gained 500% in one day after it was endorsed by three former Treasury secretaries
  3. A virtual reality unicorn that just raised $150 million from SoftBank
  4. The new auto company created by the merger of Fiat Chrysler and PSA

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ANSWER

It's the new automaker. Pretty cool name, honestly.



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January 05
Umberto Eco
FEATURED BIOGRAPHY

Umberto Eco

READ MORE
 
San Francisco: Golden Gate Bridge
FEATURED EVENT
1933
Golden Gate Bridge construction begun

READ MORE

ORE EVENTS ON THIS DAY
Eusébio
2014: Eusébio, perhaps the greatest Portuguese football (soccer) player of all time, died in Lisbon. [Test your knowledge of football (soccer).]
Kenya
1998: Daniel arap Moi was sworn in as president of Kenya for his fifth consecutive term. [ Take our African leaders quiz.]
Bruce Springsteen
1973: American musician Bruce Springsteen released his debut album, Greetings from Asbury Park, N.J. [How much do you know about songwriters?]
Diane Keaton and Woody Allen in Annie Hall
1946: American actress and director Diane Keaton, who first achieved fame in quirky comic roles before earning acclaim as a dramatic actress, was born. [Sort fact from fiction in our quiz about A-list actors.]
Alvin Ailey, Jr.
1931: American dancer and choreographer Alvin Ailey, Jr., was born in Rogers, Texas. [ Test your knowledge of dance.]
Apocalypse Now
1931: American actor Robert Duvall, who was known for his convincing portrayals of a diverse range of characters, was born in San Diego. [Take our quiz about movies.]
SEE ALL EVENTS ON THIS DAY

BREAKING: Antifa Reportedly Attacks Home Of GOP Senator Josh Hawley, Threatens Family
Trump Supporters Gathering in D.C., Mayor Claims Violence Coming
Over 432,000 Votes Removed From President Trump in Pennsylvania, Data Scientists Say
Former Director of National Intelligence Grenell: Trump in ‘Really Good Position’ for Electoral Vote Showdown
Majority of House GOP Expected To Stand for Trump on Jan. 6

Today's Top Stories

Biden's Plans to Upend Retirement Accounts

 

Biden's Plans to Upend Retirement Accounts
With Inauguration Day rapidly approaching, thousands of Americans are taking action now to protect their retirement savings. If you have an IRA or 401(k), you might want to read this soon...

Here's How You Too Can Safeguard Your Savings

Millions to be Hit Hard by this Scheme to Confiscate Savings

 

Unsuspecting Americans to be Hit Hard by this U.S. Scheme to Confiscate Your Savings
Alan Greenspan, 20-yr Chairman of the U.S. Fed, reveals Washington's nasty trick to confiscate the savings of unsuspecting Americans.

Here's What Greenspan Says Can Protect Your Savings

China Just Launched this Attack on the USD

 

China Just Launched this Attack on the USD
China has taken the next big step towards dethroning the dollar as #1 global currency. And the weird thing is, it has created an intriguing opportunity...

Here's the Asset that Stands to Soar

The Sneaky IRS Tax Law that's Sweeping the U.S.

 

The Sneaky IRS Tax Law that's Sweeping the U.S.
Big banks and the IRS don't want you to know about the opportunity this IRS "Cheat Code" unlocks... That's not stopping it from sweeping the U.S...

Here's the Little-Known (but legal) "Cheat Code" for Your Savings

Biden's Tax Plan Is A "Raw New Deal" For Retirees. Here's Why...

Joe Biden has a long history of screwing over retirees.

It started in 1983, when he voted to slap income taxes on 50% of Social Security income, income that had previously been tax-free.

In 1994, he voted to up the amount of Social Security benefits subject to taxation, to 85%.

In 2000, he turned his attention to estate taxes, voting AGAINST the Estate Tax Elimination Act that would have phased out certain estate taxes by 2010.

Now, he wants to raise over $3.3 TRILLION in taxes... 

And he's got his eye on America's nest eggs...

His plan?

He wants to expand estate taxes and "equalize" benefits across tax brackets.

Now that word "equalize"...

It's not the same as "fair"...

"Equalize" means some will come out ahead... while others will end up with less.

What will happen to you?

What will you LET happen to you?

It's worth considering.

Are you prepared to accept the worst... the potential for higher taxes, fewer benefits, less money overall for yourself...

Or do you want to do something about it -- BEFORE Joe Biden takes office and changes the tax laws?

Right now -- but potentially not for much longer -- there's a unique IRS loophole that could protect your IRA, 401(k), pension, TSP, or savings account from Joe Biden's "Raw New Deal".

You could protect your money 100% tax- and penalty-free, too. For now.

All the details are laid out for you in this FREE GUIDE to protecting your wealth and retirement savings.

But you'll want to act fast. Joe Biden has a lot of plans for "Day One" in office.

Don't let his plans ruin yours...

>> CLICK HERE <<
Get A FREE Copy Of My Special Report
"Can Your Retirement Survive" Today!


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