Saturday, February 6, 2021

BREW AND HEADLINES

SATURDAY 2.6.2021

Daily Brew

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E*TRADE

Good morning. Tomorrow, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will become the first NFL team to play the Super Bowl at their home stadium, which is fitting given the pandemic. 

  • If you’re watching the game by yourself or with just a few other people, check out our Pandemic Super Bowl Companion for recipes, games, and deep-dive articles. 

Good luck to both teams. All we ask is for a two-month moratorium on “Blinding Lights” following the halftime show.

MARKETS


NASDAQ

13,856.30

+ 0.57%

S&P

3,886.83

+ 0.39%

DOW

31,148.24

+ 0.30%

GOLD

1,815.20

+ 1.34%

10-YR

1.169%

+ 2.10 bps

OIL

57.07

+ 1.49%

*As of market close. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: The Nasdaq and S&P had their best week since November, as Democrats moved forward with stimulus plans and everyone decided to take a break from meme madness. 
  • Energy: Oil prices have sneakily been on an upswing, hitting their highest level in a year yesterday.

Francis Scialabba

If President Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan were an Amazon package, it’d be sitting in a Cranbury, New Jersey, warehouse getting ready to ship. 

Yesterday, the House followed the Senate in approving a budget plan that will allow Democrats to advance Biden’s stimulus plan without Republican support. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she’s hoping to pass the bill in the next two weeks, and it could become law by mid-March. 

What about a compromise? Biden had met with 10 Republicans who offered up a much smaller proposal, but the president wasn’t convinced and said he’d favor speed over back-and-forth. 

  • “If I have to choose between getting help right now to Americans who are hurting so badly and getting bogged down in a lengthy negotiation or compromising on a bill that’s up to the crisis, that’s an easy choice,” Biden explained yesterday.

The context

Biden’s gargantuan proposal would certainly qualify for the Mt. Rushmore of stimulus packages right next to the historic $2 trillion CARES Act that was signed last March. 

Republicans think $1.9 trillion is too much...and so do some Democrats. The economist Larry Summers, President Obama’s former top economic advisor, warned that the package would overheat the economy and prevent the administration from pursuing other projects down the road. 

But Biden hasn’t budged from his “doing too much is better than doing too little” approach. He cited yesterday’s January jobs report as evidence the economy is still in heaps of trouble.

  • The US added just 49,000 jobs in January, below expectations but much better than December’s numbers. The unemployment rate fell from 6.7% to 6.3%.

Looking ahead...if you start to notice a shortage of Red Bull and Bagel Bites in the DC metro area, it’s because staffers will start hammering out the exact language of the bill next week. 

        

George Frey/Getty Images

Americans purchased more than 2 million firearms last month, an 80% increase from a year earlier, according to a WaPo analysis. It’s the third-highest monthly total on record. 

To understand why, let’s look at the differences between January 2020 and January 2021. 

  • In January 2020...we went to concerts, restaurants, and bars.
  • In January 2021...a pandemic raged and people needed to find outdoor leisure activities, such as shooting sports. The CEO of Minnesota-based Vista Outdoor told Bloomberg the “primary driver” of higher gun sales is Covid-19. 
  • In January 2020...Donald Trump was president.
  • In January 2021...Joe Biden took charge, but only after a violent mob attacked the US Capitol Building on Jan. 6. Gun sales tend to rise when a Democrat is elected president (like in 2008 and 2012 with Obama), and they definitely tend to rise when people are scared for their safety and crave protection.  

Some interesting stats to-go: First-time buyers accounted for about 40% of all guns purchased in 2020, according to the National Shooting Sports Foundation. And 40% of total purchases were made by women. 

        

AUTO

Siri, Drive Us to Georgia

The iCar rumors are heating up again: Kia is reportedly seeking partners to help build fully electric, fully autonomous Apple cars at its West Point, Georgia, factory. 

The backstory: Apple started its secretive Project Titan in 2014 to create an Apple Car, but later sought out partnerships with companies that have, you know, made stuff that doesn’t just fit in a carry-on. Apple’s talked about a vehicular team-up with at least six automakers, according to Nikkei.

What’s in it for Apple?

1) A manufacturing partner in Hyundai-Kia that has the auto supply chain and engineering expertise Apple lacks.

2) Morgan Stanley analyst Katie Huberty explained in a research note that smartphones are a $500 billion market while mobility is worth $10 trillion. “So Apple would only need a 2% share of this market to be the size of their iPhone business.”

When these two brands go out for dinner, how will they split the bill? According to CNBC’s sources, the Kia x Apple collab will be an “Apple Car,” not a Kia Soul with Apple Maps. 

Looking ahead...reports indicate that the first Apple Cars could go into production as soon as 2024. But no agreement has been reached just yet, and Bloomberg wrote last night that talks have recently paused.

        

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So while you’ll be spending your Sunday chowing down on chicken wings, watching commercials, and yelling “go football team!” E*TRADE will be working hard to make your money work for you

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Mario Tama/Getty Images

Here’s the latest from the wide world of jabs.

Variant vanquisher: A new study concluded that the vaccine from AstraZeneca and Oxford University was effective against the “UK variant” of the coronavirus, which is more contagious than the original strain. The EU and UK have greenlighted AstraZeneca’s vaccine, but the FDA won't consider approving it until a US clinical trial has been completed. 

Vaccines appear to be working: In Israel, 80% of people 60 and over received at least one vaccine dose by January 15. Now, Covid cases among that population are rapidly declining, down 46% compared to their mid-January peak.

You may get to an NFL stadium this year, after all: The league has offered up all 30 of its venues as mass vaccination sites.

Big picture numbers: More than 124 million doses have been administered globally, per Bloomberg. The US has given 38.5 million doses.

        

Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Will Tom Brady throw for 301.5 yards? How long will the national anthem last? Will Tony Romo mention GameStop? 

If these questions get your heart thumping, you could be one of 23.2 million Americans who are expected to spend $4.3 billion betting on the Super Bowl tomorrow. Sounds like a ton, but in fact it’s a 37% decrease from last year, according to the American Gaming Association.  

That’s surprising...and it’s not. 36 million more Americans have access to legal sportsbooks this year thanks to relaxed regulations on the sector. But Covid-19 will likely dampen the action, especially at physical venues. 

Zoom out: Despite a down year for Super Bowl bets, investors are bullish on the future of sports gambling. 

  • DraftKings stock has jumped 30% over the past month. 
  • Penn National Gaming, owner of Barstool Sports, gained 9% yesterday to hit an all-time high. It’s up 45% in the last month. 

Play along: We created a game based on fun “prop bets” for you to play virtually (or in-person) with friends during the Super Bowl tomorrow. Check it out.

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Fox Business canceled “Lou Dobbs Tonight,” its highest-rated show. 
  • GameStop stock climbed 19% after Robinhood lifted more restrictions on the trading of certain meme stocks. It’s lost $18 billion in value from its Jan. 28 peak. 
  • Venmo is under investigation by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau over its debt-collection practices.
  • Amazon lost its bid to postpone a union vote at an Alabama warehouse. Voting will begin next week. 
  • HBO is releasing a docuseries about sexual abuse allegations against director Woody Allen later this month.
  • Oatly is reportedly considering an IPO at a valuation of ~$10 billion. 

SPONSORED BY E*TRADE

Putting your money to work since 1982. E*TRADE’s wide array of financial tools and support cover a lot more than trading. They can help you with banking, investing, retirement, and general financial guidance. So while the Big Game comes once a year, E*TRADE has the resources and tools to help you every single day to reach your long-term financial goals. Get started with E*TRADE today.

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BREW'S BETS

V helpful: A curated list of financial tools and resources for creatives.

Weekend conversation starters:

  • Should you work with your friends and family? Morning Brew CEO Alex Lieberman says no
  • What could you talk about for 30 minutes right now, without prepping at all? 
  • What’s your favorite burner on the stove? If you have an answer, you’re an adult, congrats.
  • What would you order from a classic 24-hour diner if you could hang out with a friend there right now?

GAMES

Beers Around the World

The Brew Crossword is on vacation this week somewhere down and across from the cold Northeast winter.

In its place, let’s do some Super Bowl-adjacent trivia on the topic of beer. See if you can name the home countries of the following beer brands. If you get a 10/10, congrats...but you might spend too much time in bars. 

  1. Labatt
  2. Carlsberg
  3. Presidente
  4. Red Stripe
  5. Sapporo
  6. Modelo
  7. Singha
  8. Castle Lager
  9. Peroni
  10. Coopers

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ANSWER

  1. Labatt = Canada
  2. Carlsberg = Denmark 
  3. Presidente = Dominican Republic 
  4. Red Stripe = Jamaica
  5. Sapporo = Japan
  6. Modelo = Mexico
  7. Singha = Thailand
  8. Castle Lager = South Africa
  9. Peroni = Italy 
  10. Coopers = Australia

 






Empify founder Ashley M. Fox shares the biggest lessons she learned leaving Wall Street behind to start her financial education company.
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FOX
Daily update February 6, 2021


NEWS





On the Media
Fox News has been stoking rage on the right for decades. As the former president faces an impeachment trial for his role in the invasion of the Capitol, ...
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Fox Business cancels 'Lou Dobbs Tonight' after a decade
LOS ANGELES (AP) — Fox Business Network's “Lou Dobbs Tonight,” whose host has trumpeted unfounded assertions of voter fraud in the 2020 ...
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Kyle Rittenhouse fires attorney who helped raise his bail
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. MADISON, Wis. (AP) — An 18-year-old from Illinois ...
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Herschel Walker on how sports can unify America: 'Quit listening' to 'people who want to separate us'
Former Heisman Trophy winner tells 'Fox News Primetime' he is saddened America 'is in the place it's in today'. Joshua Q. Nelson. By Joshua Q.
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US destroyer sails by disputed islands, shadowed by Chinese warships
All interactions were safe and professional, officials told Fox News. U.S. forces operate in the South China Sea on a daily basis, as they have for more ...
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Mike Rowe: Americans are realizing 'the price of safety is devastating'
'Dirty Jobs' host tells 'The Story' that 'risk is the only four-letter word that matters'. By Michael Quinlan | Fox News.
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Kings star De'Aaron Fox says 'it's stupid' for NBA to play All-Star Game in pandemic
Fox responded with laughter and affirming he would, but mostly because of the fine he would be facing if he refused to play: “You know you get fined? If ...
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WEB

Fox News - Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene holds a press conference | Facebook
Can't hear either huh? Is this on it's recording? It's recording. It's recording. Yeah. It's going. Thank you. Thank you for letting me know well. first off.
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  Empify founder Ashley M. Fox: How to build wealth - Grow from Acorns + CNBC












































February 6th, 2021
Biggest Gun Control Bill In History Will Make Millions Of Felons Overnight
Authored by Matt Agorist via TheFreeThoughtProject.com,HR127, known as the Sabika Sheikh Firearm Licensing and Registration Act introduced... Read More ›
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Parler Co-Owner Reveals the Platform Will Be Online Again Within Days
Parler, a social media platform that dedicated itself to “free speech” until it was taken offline last month by Amazon Web Services, could be returning next week.“We’re shooting for Monday,” said Dan... Read More ›
Republican Voter Rolls Thin Out Nationwide as Party Navigates Internal Struggle
Preoccupied with bitter internal conflict at the outset of the Joe Biden era, the Republican Party appears to have a breach somewhere in its... Read More ›
Trump Says Lou Dobbs "Is & Was Great", Fox News Cancels '#1 Business News' Show
It's probably just a coincidence, but...A day after voting software company SmartMatic filed a $2.7 billion defamation suit against Fox News... Read More ›
Hunter Biden gets $2 million advance on book deal
(FREE BEACON) – Hunter Biden is cashing in on his father's presidency with a juicy memoir due out this spring, the Associated Press reports.The terms of the book deal were "not disclosed," but the... Read More ›
Important, Teach Your Kids This Move
Do you worry about your kids when they are out on their own? How about your wife? Do they know how to protect and defend themselves from an attacker? You will learn how to disarm and take down any… Read More ›


Breaking: US Supreme Court Schedules Pennsylvania Election Case

Biden Ignores Reporters, Refuses to Answer Questions on Economy

Claudia Tenney Declares Victory in NY-22 Congressional Race

White House says Hunter Biden selling interest in Chinese company

 

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