Wednesday, February 24, 2021

MORNING BREW AND HEADLINES

Daily Brew

TOGETHER WITH

Electric

Good morning. It’s a rare day we include an image in this section, but the US Postal Service’s new mail truck (going into service in 2023) gave us no choice. Because everyone's looked at an airport shuttle and thought, 75% more windshield, please?

 

USPS  

MARKETS


NASDAQ

13,397.52

- 1.00%

S&P

3,874.36

- 0.06%

DOW

31,532.96

+ 0.04%

GOLD

1,804.00

- 0.24%

10-YR

1.361%

- 0.20 bps

OIL

61.90

+ 0.32%

*As of market close. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: #buythedip trended on Twitter after stocks took a dive early in the day. Then, the dip turned into an escalator and the S&P staged its biggest comeback since June to end in the green.
  • Covid: With J&J adding 20 million more vaccine doses next month, the US will be able to fully vaccinate 130 million Americans by the end of March, per Bloomberg.

ECONOMY

Is This Inflation Balloon Gonna Pop?

A GIF of a balloon being inflated by a helium tank

Francis Scialabba

In the past few days, biz news has been dominated by jitters around your favorite concept from Econ 101. No, not how to flirt with people in the library using only eye contact—inflation. 

When we say jitters, we mean market shifts. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note is at 1.36%, a big jump from the 0.9% where it started the year (remember, higher yield = lower price = investors are dumping their bonds), while copper and oil have spiked. Translation: Investors think economic growth is about to hit ludicrous speed and they're running for cover in assets that hedge against inflation. 

  • Inflation? During a pandemic? Some have sounded the alarm due to the double whammy of 1) Congress's historically huge relief packages and 2) the Fed's efforts to spur liquidity. Both are geared toward helping the economy through the Covid crisis and could theoretically lead to inflation. Plus, inflation is like a midafternoon snack—once it gets going, it can build momentum and spiral out of control. 

Tech shares in the US and Europe have slumped in anticipation of potential interest rate hikes, a move central banks might make to keep inflation at bay.

But many economists say there's no need to worry 

Including the ones who actually oversee the economy. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell both said in recent days they're not worried about inflation, and Powell signaled yesterday he'll keep interest rates low where Lil Jon wants them. These soothing words helped stocks mount their big comeback yesterday. 

  • Both officials also called for more spending to ease the economic hardships Americans are facing, noting that millions of people are still unemployed. 

Zoom out: Indicators of inflation usually show up in the job market; when it overheats, inflation can start to snowball. But the current job market is like the frozen burrito you threw in the microwave—hot on the surface (high yearly wage growth), but icy at the core (elevated unemployment claims). 

        

Francis Scialabba

People really want to get new ones during a pandemic. US home prices jumped 10.1% in December, their biggest monthly gain since 2014, according to S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller.

  • The hottest real estate markets? Phoenix (14.4% price growth year-over-year), Seattle (13.6%), and San Diego (13%). 

Prices are also jumping in more unexpected places. Homes in Atlantic City, NJ, which has fallen on some tough times since Nucky Thompson roamed the boardwalk, saw a 30% bump in Q4 2020. As the WSJ reports, the pandemic has accelerated the city's shift from gambling resort → liveable seaside community. 

Zoom out: A mix of historically low interest rates, the pandemic pushing people out of small apartments, and an inventory squeeze have juiced prices to unaffordable levels for many potential homebuyers. In the past week, mortgage rates have shot up with bond yields—but they're still well below last year's levels.

        

AUTO

A SPAC in the Face

On Monday evening, electric automaker Lucid Motors confirmed it's going public via SPAC at a valuation of $24 billion. EVs, record-breaking SPAC...is that sound Wall Street drooling? 

Not this time

Shares of Churchill Capital IV (CCIV), the special purpose acquisition company that is taking Lucid public, fell 39% yesterday. CCIV's shares had previously risen 472% following January reports of the deal—real "GameStop vibes," Axios writes.

CCIV's plunge doesn't necessarily mean this is a bad deal. Lucid's hefty valuation reflects tremendous investor interest in the EV market and high expectations for its upcoming luxury Air sedan. Lucid will raise $4.4 billion through the CCIV deal and use that money to help fund production and expansion into new vehicle lines.

Zoom out: Yesterday's news pushed Lucid's valuation to $62 billion...even though it hasn't delivered a single vehicle yet (GM is worth about $74 billion). Sky-high valuations for other EV startups that have SPAC'd—including Nikola, Lordstown Motors, and Fisker—have sparked concerns about a bubble approaching its pop.

        

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GRAB BAG

Key Performance Indicators

When you spend most of your time reading the news, you find some interesting stuff. Here's 1 quote, 1 stat, and 1 long read that we discovered yesterday and had to share.

Quote: "The strategic monkey reserve is exactly what we needed to deal with Covid, and we just didn't have it."—Keith Reeves, a principal investigator at the Center for Virology and Vaccine Research at Harvard Medical School, told the NYT that a shortage of lab monkeys hampered Covid-19 vaccine efforts. Now, there's talk of creating a "strategic monkey reserve," similar to what the US has done with oil and grain.

Stat: Oat-based dairy product sales tripled in 2020 to overtake soy milk as the second most popular plant-based milk (almond milk remains king). Yesterday, the Swedish vegan milk company Oatly filed confidentially for an IPO, and it's aiming for a valuation of up to $10 billion.

Read: On creativity and TikTok. (Eugene Wei)

        

EXPLAINER

Market CAPITALIZATION

Stocks declining

Francis Scialabba

Every Wednesday, we answer a reader-submitted question about business and the economy. Got something to ask us? Click here.

Q from Daniel in Atlanta: What really is a market cap?

Brew's answer: Market capitalization, aka "market cap," is a measure of a public company's worth based on the dollar value of outstanding shares. Outstanding shares = stock that's been issued and is available to investors. 

Market cap is a useful tool to see where a company stacks up against competitors and how investors feel about its future growth potential. Companies are typically labeled as small-cap ($300 million–$2 billion), mid-cap ($2–$10 billion), or large-cap ($10+ billion). 

  • Market cap can fluctuate as share prices move or if the company issues new shares or buys back stock.
  • Worth noting: Market cap =/= how much it costs to buy a company.

Real world example: Last year, Tesla's market cap surpassed that of the nine biggest global automakers combined...even though it sells far fewer vehicles. Remember, share price doesn't just reflect the value of a company today, but where investors see it going. 

  • Tesla is the leading EV producer, and legacy automakers and EV startups are largely playing catch up. 
  • Even though Tesla only recently became profitable and has had numerous issues meeting production schedules, investors believe that the EV market is going to explode and Tesla along with it. 

Ask us something else here.

        

SPORTS

$18 Beers Never Tasted So Good

MSG

Madison Square Garden

Last night, fans were allowed to watch the NY Knicks lose a basketball game in person for the first time in 352 days. 

Across the East River, the Brooklyn Nets also welcomed back fans for the first time since the pandemic started. Both arenas (Madison Square Garden and the Barclays Center) are capped at 10% capacity for now, which means priority is given to season ticket holders and people who tend to eat shrimp cocktail while watching basketball.

The backstory: NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo has allowed attendance at arenas provided that fans show a negative PCR Covid-19 test 72 hours before the event starts. The Barclays Center is even sending ticket holders an at-home Covid-19 test as part of the price of admission. It’s the first major North American sports venue to do so. 

Zoom out: The Knicks and Nets make it 14 NBA teams (out of 30) that are allowing fans to attend games. No arena is allowing more than 25% attendance. 

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Home Depot sales increased 25% in the fourth quarter of 2020, capping a year in which it raked in a record $132 billion in sales.
  • Square, Jack Dorsey’s fintech company, bought $170 million more in bitcoin. It also doubled its revenue last quarter thanks to more trading on its Cash App.
  • Snap said it was in a position to do "multiple years" of more than 50% revenue growth. 
  • Microsoft, SolarWinds, and other cybersecurity firms defended their actions during the massive breach of government agencies and corporations by suspected Russian hackers.
  • Tiger Woods suffered serious leg injuries in a car accident in California, but they're not life-threatening. The golfer underwent surgery in the afternoon.

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Up your fort game: Children’s furniture is getting really modular and hip, with brands like Nuggets (not reconstituted chicken patties) reimagining playtime. Read up on the growing sector here, from Retail Brew writer Halie LeSavage. 

Anti-productivity: Listen to the “ambient” sounds of The Office on this interactive site

It’s actually cake: Well, pancakes. Here are ten pancake recipes from top chefs. 

*This is sponsored advertising content

GAMES

Chicken Sandwich Wars

Today, McDonald’s is releasing three versions of its new chicken sandwich, joining every other fast food chain that released a new chicken sandwich. But can you tell them apart? Match the chicken sandwiches pictured below with the correct fast food company.

  

Options: Chick-fil-A, Wendy's, Burger King, McDonald's, KFC, Popeyes 

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ANSWER

  1. KFC
  2. Wendy’s
  3. McDonald’s
  4. Chick-fil-A
  5. Burger King
  6. Popeyes

 

Breaking News: Donald and Melania Trump Under Fire After Unexpected Announcement

They Receive Scrutiny From Politicians And Sponsors For This


{Continue Reading}

 

Breaking News: Biden's New Bill Kills American Masculinity - What You Can Do To Stop This



February 24
Charles V
FEATURED BIOGRAPHY

Charles V

READ MORE
 
Andrew Johnson
FEATURED EVENT
1868
U.S. President Andrew Johnson impeached

READ MORE

MORE EVENTS ON THIS DAY
Katherine Johnson
2020: American mathematician Katherine Johnson—whose trailblazing work at NASA became known to a wide audience through the book Hidden Figures and its film adaptation (both 2016)—died at age 101. [ Sort fact from fiction in our space exploration quiz.]
Harvey Weinstein
2020: American film producer Harvey Weinstein, whose career ended amid numerous allegations of sexual harassment and assault, was convicted of rape and a criminal sex act; many viewed the verdict as a victory for the #MeToo movement, which sought to assist survivors of sexual assault.
Steve Jobs
1955: American businessman Steve Jobs, cofounder of Apple Inc. and a charismatic pioneer of the personal computer era, was born. [ Take our quiz about tech companies.]
Winslow Homer: Daydreaming
1836: American painter Winslow Homer, who captured the interaction of humans and nature in his watercolours, was born in Boston. [ Test your knowledge of artists.]
Persian Gulf War
1991: U.S. ground operations began in the Persian Gulf War, more than a month after an air war was launched against Iraq to free Iraqi-occupied Kuwait. [ Read about the conflict's key events in our timeline.]
Fidel Castro
1976: The regime of Fidel Castro adopted the constitution of Cuba, which mandated the operation of only one political party—the Communist Party of Cuba. [ Discover six interesting facts about Castro.]
SEE ALL EVENTS ON THIS DAY

Columnists
Fredocon Hypocrites Again Shocked to Find the Left Hates Them Too

Kurt Schlichter


Save the Rhino!

John Stossel


Fact-Checkers Hammering Biden and Cuomo? No.

Tim Graham


Reparations Don't Buy Justice, Dignity or Freedom

Star Parker


Planned Parenthood’s New Report Reveals More Than 8.6 Million Abortions

Katie Yoder



The Counterfeit Equality Act: The Left's Assault On Religious Liberty

Ken Blackwell


$1.9 Trillion 'COVID-19' Bill Would Pay for Abortions and NEA-Defined 'Art'

Terry Jeffrey


Why the Electricity Crisis in Texas Should Scare Europeans

Rachel Marsden


States Can Provide Their Own Civil Remedies for Police Abuse

Jacob Sullum


ADVERTISEMENT
Hey, Central America! Have I Got a Deal for You.

Nicholas Waddy


A Plea to Good Teachers: Burn Your NEA Cards

Bob Barr


The Authoritarian Left Is on the March

Ben Shapiro


States Step Up for Election Integrity

John and Andy Schlafly


Election Law Reforms Coming

M.D. Kittle


Amazon Engages in ‘Digital Book Burning’

Michael Brown


Don’t Believe the Unity Hype; Democrats Are Coming for the Filibuster

Tim Chapman


Trump Judges and the Equality Act

Joseph Backholm



INVESTING
Amidst Global Warming Hysteria, NASA Expects Global Cooling



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Envy And Human Nature

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Tipsheet
Why Hugh Hewitt Thinks Republicans Should Vote to Confirm Neera Tanden

Leah Barkoukis


Oh, So That's What Happened to Those Two NY Lawyers Who Tried to Attack Cops With Molotov Cocktails

Matt Vespa


'Very Frightening': Dr. Scott Atlas Explains How Public Health Officials Have Damaged the American Psyche

Leah Barkoukis


Adam Kinzinger's First Primary Opponent Announces Her Run with This Ad

Beth Baumann


Why 28 Republicans Are Calling for an Investigation Into the National Institutes of Health

Beth Baumann


Schumer Has a Message for Moderate Democrats

Beth Baumann


Why Greenies and the Liberal Media Don't Want You to Read About Canada Amid Texas' Deep Freeze

Matt Vespa


Sen. Cruz Notes Becerra's 'Only' Experience with Health Care

Cortney O'Brien


Former Editor: Cuomo Didn't Like a Story We Were Running, So His Enforcers Terrorized Me

Matt Vespa


Senate Confirms Tom Vilsack as Secretary of Agriculture

Reagan McCarthy


ADVERTISEMENT
Political Cartoons
Bearing Arms
Opposition To South Carolina Carry Bill Is Off-Target | Cam Edwards

Fierce Opposition To Oregon Gun Bill Limiting Right To Carry | Cam Edwards

Missouri County Says It Will Arrest Feds Enforcing Gun Control | Tom Knighton

Activists Press Biden To Enact His Anti-Gun Agenda | Cam Edwards

Constitutional Carry Passes Indiana House | Cam Edwards

 

Today's Headlines...

Biden’s Far-Left Agenda on Full Display in First Month

Daily Beast Editor Ends Up Putting AOC on Blast after Trying to Smear Tucker 

Trump to Seek His Revenge in 2024? Get Your Gear Here… (sponsor)

CNN’s Chris Cuomo Instantly Gets Smeared on Twitter for Posting Ironic Tweet

School Board Caught Trashing Parents for Wanting Schools to Reopen

Today's Top Headline

Tiger Woods involved in single car rollover in Southern California, taken to hospital for surgery

 

Sponsored

Get 50% OFF This Professional Wireless WiFi Endoscope Camera Today!

 

Trending

The Internet May Be Starting To Splinter

US Jobs Won’t Return To Pre-Pandemic Levels Until 2024

Why You Need To Update Your iPhone Right Now

 February 24th, 2021

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Show your enthusiasm for re-electing President Donald J. Trump by proudly wearing this FREE Trump 2020 lapel pin!These are the PERFECT gifts for friends and family who support our President Trump's Re-Election for 2020! Read More ›
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Board Leaders Of Texas Power Grid Resign After Blackout Outrage
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Important Republican Sens. introduce bill rising the minimum wage to $10
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Buy 1 Omega-3 Fish Oil Get 1 Free Bottle!
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FOX
Daily update February 24, 2021


NEWS

Tiger Woods in surgery after suffering 'multiple leg injuries' in serious crash, agent says
Woods was involved in the wreck early Tuesday. Daniel Canova. By Daniel Canova, Ryan Gaydos | Fox News.
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Pennsylvania teen charged with killing older sister while parents slept, DA says
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. A 14-year-old Pennsylvania teen was accused of stabbing her older ...
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FOX News Channel Names Mike Emanuel Chief Washington Correspondent
Emanuel added, "Having been lucky enough to call FOX News home for nearly 25 years, I'm thrilled to take on this expanded role and keep doing what I ...
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Verdict vacated; bond request next for ex-NFL star's killer
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. A lawyer for the man who fatally shot former NFL star Will Smith in ...
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Trump vacuum puts local officials in media's harsh glare
Andrew Cuomo, Ted Cruz, and Gavin Newsom all find themselves media targets. Howard Kurtz. By Howard Kurtz | Fox News.
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Snapshot: Gray fox in Isabella
Snapshot: Gray fox in Isabella. Share your snapshots by emailing a jpeg to scrapbook@duluthnews.com. Written By: News Tribune | Feb 23rd 2021 ...
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Terroristic threat with explosives puts Texas man in custody
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. Detectives with the Williamson County Sheriff's office have arrested ...
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Baylor back from pause, resumes bid for undefeated season
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. Baylor is back in its bid for an undefeated season.
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WEB

Fox News - Los Angeles County Sheriff Presser on Tiger Woods | Facebook
Fox News is live now. Just now ·. The Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department holds a press conference on the car accident that seriously injured ...
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It's Bigger than Fox News: Time for Mainstream Journalism to Reckon with Monetizing ...
In it, he writes, “In other words, the problem with Fox isn't that it's conservative but that it monetizes conspiracy theories and disinformation in ways that ...
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FOX Soccer on Twitter: "Oh la la, Olivier Giroud! (via @TUDNUSA) https://t.co/hYRRxMgsl4"
Great finish but I'm yet to see an angle that shows that it was the defender who played it and not Mount 🤷 ‍♂️. 1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes. Reply. 1.
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Dominion Voting Sues MyPillow’s Mike Lindell for $1.3 Billion

Dominion Voting Sues MyPillow’s Mike Lindell for $1.3 Billion

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Learn more about RevenueStripe...

 

Rep. Raskin Claims Trump Could Still Be Banned From...

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