Monday, April 19, 2021

BREW WITH HEADLINES

 

Daily Brew

TOGETHER WITH

SimpliSafe

Good morning. Hallelujah, it's raining jabs. More than half of all US adults have received at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, and today all restrictions on people over 16 are lifted.

There never has been/will be a better excuse to skip a meeting you don’t want to go to.

MARKET PERFORMANCE: YEAR-TO-DATE


 

Nasdaq
+9.03%
14,052.34
S&P
+11.43%
4,185.47
Dow
+11.74%
34,200.67


Bitcoin
+94.49%
$56,406.20
10-Year
+66.5 bps
1.584%
Oil
+29.44%
$62.80

 

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 7:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Stock futures edged lower on Sunday night for all three major indexes ahead of a big week for earnings. Over in the commodities market, the North American crude oil benchmark, WTI, has gained almost 30% this year, but that hasn’t been enough to stave off a record number of bankruptcy filings for US shale producers. 
  • Crypto: The price of bitcoin fell as much as 19.5% this weekend, its biggest plunge in weeks, and six other top cryptocurrencies also fell over 10%. The turmoil resulted in a new single-day record of 864,000 crypto futures being liquidated, The Block reports

ECONOMY

Small Businesses Shake It Off

Small businesses in a row

Francis Scialabba

One year ago, just weeks into lockdowns and stay-at-home orders, economists warned of the potential closures of millions of businesses across the country. But preliminary data from the first 12 months of the pandemic shows those predictions fell flatter than our bet on skinny jeans never going out of style. 

Fewer than 200,000 business establishments closed from March 2020 to February 2021 on top of the roughly 600,000 businesses that typically turnover in a given year, according to a new Federal Reserve report. 

  • Important distinction: An estimated 130,000 of those "excess" closures were businesses going under (as opposed to just closing one of their locations).

Unsurprisingly, personal services were the hardest hit—about half of the excess failures were businesses like barber shops and nail salons. But some categories, including carry-out restaurants, grocery stores, and outdoor recreation, saw fewer failures than a normal year. 

Zoom out: 200,000 excess closures certainly had devastating consequences for owners and employees, but the unemployment impact was less than you might expect. Business exits are typically higher among firms with five or fewer workers, and the majority of the US' 26 million small businesses are sole proprietorships. 

But this isn't over 

The full scope of business damage won't be known for years, and surveys continue to show many are still struggling under burdens of unpaid loans and back rent. 

The impact of closures also hasn't been felt evenly, Fed surveys show. Firms owned by people of color experienced larger declines in sales and more difficulty accessing capital. If requests for pandemic aid were granted, they were less likely than white-owned businesses to get the amount requested. 

Big picture: The Fed report offers an upbeat view of business resiliency during Covid and evidence that PPP and other aid programs prevented more permanent damage. "Not only are things less bad than we thought, but they are less bad by an order of magnitude," MIT Sloan Prof. Scott Stern told the WSJ.

        

SPORTS

European Soccer's Civil War

TURIN, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 16:  Cristiano Ronaldo of Juventus FC celebrate...

Emilio Andreoli/Getty Images

Yesterday, a group of 12 elite European soccer clubs unveiled a breakaway competition called the Super League, a plan that could lead to the biggest shakeup in the sport since Zlatan Ibrahimović brought back the man bun.

Who's in? To start, six clubs from England's Premier League, including Liverpool and Manchester United, and six more from Spain and Italy. The ultimate goal is to have 15 permanent teams in a "closed" structure more in line with US sports leagues.

And what do they want? More money. Super League teams would get $400+ million each just for participating, a sum more than 4x what they'd earn from winning the current top European competition, the Champions League. 

The response from existing soccer leadership: Imagine an announcer saying the word "goooooal" for 30 seconds, but replace that with "nooooo." UEFA, European soccer's governing body and the organization that runs the Champions League, called it a "cynical project," and even UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron denounced it. 

Looking ahead...a battle royale for the soul of European soccer. 

        

Giphy

The US and China don't agree on much—trade, aggressions in the South China Sea, where to set the thermostat. But in a joint statement Saturday, the world's two largest economies said they'd work together to combat climate change. 

If you're looking for specifics, this is not the statement for you. But the countries did agree to take "concrete actions" this decade to reduce emissions in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement, which commits countries to limit warming to "well below" two degrees Celsius relative to the preindustrial era.

  • That won't happen without buy-in from the US and China. The countries are No. 1 and No. 2 on the World's Top Emitters list, together contributing almost half of the fossil fuel emissions that warm the planet. 

Zoom out: Compared to his predecessor, President Biden is taking a U-turn with an aggressive plan to tackle climate change. However, he has largely maintained the same antagonistic tone toward the Chinese government.

Looking ahead...later this week, the US will announce new carbon emissions targets before hosting 40 world leaders at a virtual climate summit. Chinese President Xi Jinping is a "maybe." 

        

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Wait, We Can Leave the House?

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FITNESS

Safety Agency Tells Peloton Users to Look Before You Run

Peloton is in a war of words with US regulators over the safety of one of its core products.

On Saturday, the Consumer Product Safety Commission said customers of Peloton's Tread+ treadmill should not use it around small children or pets because they could get trapped underneath the machine.

  • The agency cited 39 incidents involving the Tread+, including the death of a child that Peloton acknowledged last month. 
  • It's not clear whether Peloton's treadmill is more dangerous than other treadmills.

The company pushed back against the report, calling it "inaccurate and misleading." Peloton said there is "no reason to stop using the Tread+, as long as all warnings and safety instructions are followed." 

Zoom out: Peloton's biggest problem last year was making enough equipment to fulfill elevated demand for its connected fitness products. But 2021 has gone much differently—its stock price has fallen more than 20% and it's drawing the unwanted attention of regulators. 

        

GRAB BAG

Key Performance Indicators

Coinbase going public

Francis Scialabba

Stat: In 2012, venture capitalist Garry Tan wrote a $300,000 seed-stage check to a new crypto exchange called Coinbase. When Coinbase went public via direct listing last week, Tan's initial investment ($1.3 million in total) was valued at $680 million.

Quote: "Our patient could die at any moment."

Doctors for Russian dissident Alexei Navalny, who is 20 days into a hunger strike in Russian prison, say he could die within days if he does not receive medical treatment. Navalny's team has called for mass protests across Russia on Wednesday.

Read: Some businesses kept their promise to withhold PAC donations from lawmakers who voted to overturn election results...others didn't. (Popular Information)

        

CALENDAR

The Week Ahead

FDA Johnson & Johnson vaccine

SOPA Images/Getty Images

Vaccines: Dr. Fauci said a decision on resuming J&J's paused Covid-19 vaccine will come by Friday. He told Face the Nation that he wouldn't be surprised if there were a "resumption in some form."

Earnings: Close your eyes and picture the most prototypical companies in "Corporate America"—those are the ones reporting earnings this week: AT&T, P&G, Johnson & Johnson, Verizon, Intel, Coca-Cola, IBM, and Netflix. Big banks have set a high bar. 

Earthy things: Earth Day is Thursday, and so is the release date of a new PBS documentary on activist Greta Thunberg. 4/20 is on...4/20 (Tuesday).

Everything else: 

  • Today, closing arguments begin in the trial over the killing of George Floyd.
  • On Thursday, SpaceX is planning to send four astronauts to the International Space Station.
  • Wait—the Oscars are on Sunday? 
        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Two men were killed in Texas on Saturday when their Tesla crashed and caught fire. Officials believe "no one" was driving the vehicle at the time of impact.
  • Investor Keith Gill, aka Roaring Kitty, doubled down on his GameStop stake to 200,000 shares worth $31 million at Friday's close. Apparently he likes the stock.
  • Charles Geschke, cofounder of Adobe Inc. and one of the developers behind the PDF, died Friday at 81. 
  • Clubhouse closed another funding round at a reported $4 billion valuation.
  • Swiss billionaire Hansjörg Wyss, a top bidder for Tribune Publishing, has dropped out. This could deal a blow to Tribune's attempt to avoid a takeover by hedge fund Alden Global Capital, its largest shareholder.

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Dive back into the week:

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GAMES

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Sector: Auto

 

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ANSWER

That's Nikola, the EV startup whose big gains since going public last year have effectively been erased.

 



April 19
Charles Darwin
FEATURED BIOGRAPHY

Charles Darwin

READ MORE
 
Battle of Lexington
FEATURED EVENT
1775
American Revolution begun

READ MORE

MORE EVENTS ON THIS DAY
Mswati III
2018: King Mswati III announced that he was changing his country's name from the Kingdom of Swaziland to the Kingdom of Eswatini. [Can you match these African leaders to the countries they led?]
Benedict XVI
2005: Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger was elected to succeed Pope John Paul II, who had died some two weeks earlier; Ratzinger took the name Benedict XVI. [ Take our quiz about popes.]
Oklahoma City bombing
1995: In what was the worst act of terrorism in U.S. history up to that time, a truck bomb nearly destroyed the Alfred P. Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City , killing 168 and injuring more than 500 people.
Waco siege
1993: After a 51-day standoff with U.S. federal agents, some 80 members of the millennialist Branch Davidian religious group perished in a fire at their compound near Waco, Texas. [ How much do you know about U.S. history?]
Aryabhata
1975: Aryabhata, the first uncrewed Earth satellite built by India, was launched from the Soviet Union by a Russian-made rocket. [ Sort fact from fiction in our space objects quiz.]
Warsaw Ghetto Uprising
1943: The Warsaw Ghetto Uprising, an act of resistance by Polish Jews under Nazi occupation, began this day and was quelled four weeks later, on May 16. [ Test your knowledge of World War II.]
SEE ALL EVENTS ON THIS DAY

“Strongly Looking At It”-Trump Says He Is Strongly Looking At 2024…Says 2020 Election Still Being Looked At By Some People
Maxine Waters Appears to Incite Mob Amid Minneapolis Riots: ‘We Have Got to Get More Confrontational’
Trump Releases Statement On Afghanistan Troop Withdrawal
Donald Trump Attends Fundraiser With Governor Ron DeSantis, Mike Pompeo
Arizona Senate Is Ready for Audit of Maricopa County’s 2020 Election Results to Begin – The Democrats Are In a Panic

  CNN’s Chris Cuomo: ‘White People’s Kids’ Need To ‘Start Getting Killed’ For Police Reform To Happen

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Top Republicans Prepare for 2024 Race, Regardless of Trump's Plans

Biden Still Seizing Land at Border, Despite Pledge to Halt Wall

SPECIAL: The Results Are In: Trump’s Final Approval Ratings

Armed Black ‘Freedom Fighters’ Keep Peace in Brooklyn Center

Suburban Minneapolis Police Shoot & Kill White Carjacker

 April 19th, 2021

Minneapolis Drive-By Leaves 2 National Guardsmen Injured
Unidentified assailants in a drive-by shooting Sunday fired at a team of Minnesota National Guard and Minneapolis Police Department officials keeping the peace in Minneapolis during the ongoing Derek... Read More ›
3 Fatal Crisis Mistakes & How To Avoid Them
It's hard to believe that even some innocent mistakes, like eating a certain type of meat, or hiding your stockpile in the basement, could ever cost you your life. This is not something taken out of some books… Read More ›
Arizona to Start Major Audit of 2020 Presidential Election
The Arizona Senate will start a major audit of the 2021 presidential election next week, with results likely to be ready by mid-May, reports Just The News.Arizona Senate President Karen Fann told the... Read More ›
Trump Blasts Biden Plan To Withdraw From Afghanistan
Former President Donald Trump blasted President Biden for pushing the deadline to withdraw all US troops from Afghanistan to Sept. 11 — saying it “should remain a day of reflection and... Read More ›
New Conservative Group Gets Creative In Its Effort to Block Biden Agenda
A new conservative research group is using creative and controversial tactics to cause trouble for the Biden administration.“I see the group... Read More ›
CNN’s Cuomo: Police Reform Won’t Come Until White Kids Are Killed
White kids need to die in order for police reform to take hold, according to CNN anchor Chris Cuomo.Cuomo on Friday criticized the slow pace of change amid new high-profile shootings in Minnesota and... Read More ›
This Is The #1 Killer In The Aftermath Of A Hurricane
With each major hurricane, hundreds of innocent people lose their lives. But it's not the hurricane that kills them. Nor the floods that follow. And not even the lack of food, water, or shelter. What kills them is a danger… Read More ›

Jen Psaki Gets Busted Exaggerating Deals With Foreign Countries at Border

Jen Psaki Gets Busted Exaggerating Deals With Foreign Countries at Border

Here's What We Know >>

 
Learn more about RevenueStripe...

 

Ron DeSantis Smells Like a Rose After AP Finds No...

Ron DeSantis Smells Like a Rose After AP Finds No...

Read This Alert >>>

Republicans Rip Democrats’ Plan to Expand Supreme Court

Republicans Rip Democrats’ Plan to Expand Supreme Court

Read This Alert >>>

Apple, Will Smith Film Project ‘Emancipation’...

Apple, Will Smith Film Project ‘Emancipation’...

Read This Alert >>>

 


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INVESTING

Tipsheet
If Pelosi Doesn't Take Action Against Maxine Waters, McCarthy Promises He Will

Leah Barkoukis


A Permanent Mask Mandate? One State Is Considering It

Leah Barkoukis


Liz Cheney Keeps Shooting Herself in the Foot

Matt Vespa


PBS Poll Claiming Americans Reject Transgender Legislation is Full of 'Euphemisms to Prevent Understanding'

Rebecca Downs


As Maxine Waters Calls for Riots in the Streets to Continue, Minnesota National Guardsmen Shot At

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The Vaccine Success Rates Are Astounding. Why Isn't Dr. Fauci Acting Like It?

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The Responses To This Slate Writer's Call To End Outdoor Masking Tell You All You Need To Know About The Left

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As Border Crisis Rages, Biden Set to Increase Number of Refugees

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Political Cartoons
Bearing Arms
Florida Seeks To Crack Down On Unwritten Anti-Gun Policies | Tom Knighton

Alabama Senate Passes Sanctuary State Bill | Tom Knighton

Firearm Youth Educational Group Doing Their Part Turns Five! | John Petrolino

UK Stalking Victim's Murder Why Second Amendment Matters | Tom Knighton

Iowa Gun Grabbers Hold Rally To Oppose Permitless Carry | Tom Knighton

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