Monday, August 2, 2021

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Good morning. It may be the dog days of summer, but instead of taking it easy like a Newfoundland we are feeling quite terrier-like, gearing up to release more content than ever before to help you get smarter.

First up: a Crash Course on Crypto. We’re taking readers on a two-month journey to explore the wide world of digital tokens, from investment opportunities to crypto’s role in cybercrime. Check out our first piece below.

MARKETS: YEAR-TO-DATE


Nasdaq

14,672.68

S&P

4,395.26

Dow

34,935.47

Bitcoin

$39,716.47

10-Year

1.233%

SHW

$291.03

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 10:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: The three major US stock indexes head into August with impressive year-to-date gains under their belts. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and the rest of the materials sector outpaced all others in the S&P 500 last week, scoring gains for nine straight days.
  • Covid: Vaccination rates in the US have steadily increased over the past three weeks, especially in the least-vaccinated states. But the virus continues to spread: Florida currently has more people hospitalized for Covid-19 than at any point during the pandemic.

CORPORATE

The Covid Boom Times Are Over

A box of Amazon goods

Francis Scialabba

Companies that enjoyed a surge in sales during the worst of the pandemic last year are confronting a new era of more socializing with people, and less socializing with an imaginary paper towel friend. 

Amazon, a poster child for the Covid boom, fell 7.6% Friday for its worst day in more than a year, dropping Jeff Bezos below French luxury mogul Bernard Arnault on the list of world’s richest people. 

  • Devastating for Jeff, and devastating for other e-commerce companies in Amazon’s orbit. Shares in Etsy, Wayfair, and eBay all fell as investors questioned whether they could maintain the Covid momentum. 

“People are getting out more and doing things besides shopping,” Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky told reporters. The company did bring in $113 billion in sales last quarter, but predicted that would drop to between $106–$112 billion for the current quarter due to what analysts like to call “reopening headwinds.”

Who else is taking a hit? 

  • Pinterest stock plunged 18% Friday after reporting a 5% decline in global users last quarter. “We believe engagement on Pinterest was disproportionately lower as people began spending more time socializing with friends outside their homes, eating in restaurants, and generally participating in activities that are not our core use cases,” the company wrote.
  • Kimberly-Clark, which makes Huggies diapers and Cottonelle toilet paper, said organic sales in its home-care unit fell 17% from Q2 last year. “Clearly our results did not turn out as expected,” the company’s CEO said.

Big picture: Despite rising Covid cases and concerns around the Delta variant, the sort of lockdowns that boosted these companies last year appear to be an artifact of 2020. We’re also learning that certain consumer behaviors established during the early days of Covid—constant sanitizing, home decoration, watching terrible TV shows—are fading as vaccination rates rise. 

        

COVID

The Hottest Trend in Corporate America

Nope, not the metaverse. Vaccine mandates.

Walmart and Disney, two of the country’s largest private employers, announced Covid-19 vaccine requirements for portions of their staff on Friday, joining other prominent companies requiring some or all of their employees to be vaccinated to come to work. Here’s a quick rundown:

Netflix
Saks Fifth Avenue 
BlackRock
Facebook
Goldman Sachs
Delta and United Airlines
Morgan Stanley 
The Washington Post
Lyft
Uber 
Twitter

Over in the public sector, the US federal government, New York, and California are requiring that workers be vaccinated or get frequently tested for Covid.

Zoom out: Vaccine mandates are popular. Earlier this summer, 64% of Americans said that they would support federal, state, or local governments requiring everyone to get vaccinated, according to a survey by the COVID States Project.

        

Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Sitting behind the US (with 59 medals as of last night) and China (51) in the total Olympic medal count is the athletic powerhouse ROC.

If you’ve never heard of ROC before, it doesn’t mean you’re bad at geography—it’s not a country. It stands for the Russian Olympic Committee, a loophole that allows more than 330 Russian athletes to compete in the Olympics without representing the country itself.

The backstory: In 2019, Russia was banned from international competition for four years for pulling off one of the biggest doping scandals in sports history. 

  • One example: During the 2014 Olympics in Sochi, Russian anti-doping experts swapped more than 100 tainted urine samples for clean ones in the dead of night, the director of Russia’s anti-doping lab told the NYT.

Russia recently got the four-year ban reduced to two years.

Zoom out: Some US swimmers have voiced frustrations about Russian athletes competing in the Tokyo Games. Lily King said yesterday, “I’m sure there were a lot of people competing this week from certain countries who probably shouldn’t have been here.”

+ Optional homework: Watch the Oscar-winning documentary on the Russian doping scandal, Icarus, on Netflix. 

        

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Key Performance Indicators

Symptomatic breakthrough Covid-19 infections

Darren Lu on Reddit

Stat: Of the nearly 165 million people who’ve been fully vaccinated in the US, at least 125,000 (or 0.08%) have tested positive for Covid-19 and 1,400 (less than 0.001%) have died, according to an NBC News analysis of infections in 38 states. There are caveats—12 states’ data is missing and asymptomatic infections are also likely slipping by unnoticed—but the numbers show that the vaccines are highly effective in preventing serious illness from Covid-19. 

Quote: “Square and Afterpay have a shared purpose.”

Square cofounder and CEO Jack Dorsey announced that his fintech company was buying Afterpay, an Australian “buy now, pay later” (BNPL) giant, for $29 billion in stock. The acquisition, Square’s largest yet, means the company’s small business clients will be able to offer Afterpay’s BNPL option to their customers.

Read: Who owns my name? (Amanda Knox)

        

CALENDAR

The Week Ahead

The Brent Spence Bridge spans the Ohio River on the Ohio-Kentucky border...

Jeff Dean/Getty Images

Infrastructure week, for real this time: After tidying up the final language yesterday, expect the Senate to pass the bipartisan $550 billion infrastructure bill this week before their August break. The House likely won’t take a peek at the package, the biggest of its kind in decades, until September.

Jobs report: The Beyoncé of economic data, the monthly jobs report, will arrive this Friday to reveal how many jobs the US added in July. Economists are expecting 788,000 new jobs, but whatever it is it’ll be notable because Fed Chair Jerome Powell will use the report to help decide when to wind down the Fed’s stimulus programs. 

Earnings: More than 25% of the S&P 500 will report earnings this week. Some names to watch include Alibaba, Roku, CVS, GM, Etsy, Uber, and Square.

Everything else: 

  • Boeing and NASA are launching an uncrewed test flight of the Starliner capsule to the International Space Station Tuesday. 
  • Barack Obama turns 60 on Wednesday.
  • Are you ready for some football? The NFL preseason begins with the Hall of Fame Game on Thursday.
  • The Olympics close up shop Sunday.
        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Jungle Cruise topped the box office with a $34.1 million debut in North American theaters, plus another $30 million on Disney+.
  • Former President Trump has raised a war chest of nearly $102 million as of June.
  • The US and UK accused Iran of an attack on an Israeli-managed oil tanker that killed two people.
  • Lollapalooza yanked rapper DaBaby from its Sunday lineup over homophobic comments he made last week.

Olympics links

  • Kristina Timanovskaya, a Belarusian sprinter, said she was “safe” in police protection after claiming she was taken to the airport by Belarusian team officials to fly home. Timanovskaya had criticized the country’s athletic officials for adding another race to her slate without notice.
  • The new fastest man in the world: Italy’s Lamont Jacobs, who won a surprise gold in the men’s 100m dash.
  • Latest tearjerker vid: Two high jumpers share a gold medal. 

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Dive back into the week:

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Encyclopaedia Britannica | On This Day
August 02
Peter O'Toole in Lawrence of Arabia

FEATURED BIOGRAPHY


Born On This Day

Peter O'Toole

Irish actor

READ MORE
Persian Gulf War: U.S. Navy F-14A Tomcat

FEATURED EVENT


1990

Kuwait invaded

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Ahmed H. Zewail

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SEE ALL BIOS ON THIS DAY

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AOC On Failing To Extend Eviction Moratorium: ‘We Cannot In Good Faith Blame The Republican Party’

Breaking News: DeSantis Leaks Sad News About Donald Trump 

High Ranking Officials Are Shocked!
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Perhaps The Dumbest Democrat Emails Yet

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Just Shut Up, New York Times

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Meet Deanna: The Hyde Amendment Saved Her Life from Abortion

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A Gun Grab is the Best Way to Enslave Americans

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I Know Exactly Who Is To Blame for This New Wave of COVID-19, and I Know Who Is Making a Fortune on It

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An Invitation to Anarchy

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Photo: Pete Souza/The White House via HBO

Former President Obama turns 60 on Wednesday. Tomorrow, "Obama: In Pursuit of a More Perfect Union," a three-part documentary series, premieres at 9 p.m. ET on HBO and HBO Max.

  • As the nation grapples with racial history, the series weaves together interviews with friends and critics — along with clips from Obama's speeches and interviews — to shed new light on his pursuit of a more equal and inclusive America, HBO says.

Interviews include Valerie Jarrett, the late Rep. John Lewis, David Axelrod, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Michele Norris, David Remnick, Ta-Nehisi Coates, Henry Louis Gates Jr., David Maraniss, Jon Favreau and more.

  • Executive producers: Peter Kunhardt; Andi Bernstein and Mona Sutphen; Jelani Cobb and Jacqueline Glover.

Watch the trailer.

1 big thing: Harsh climate reality


Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

Climate change isn't an existential cliff that we'll suddenly fall off of, with no turning back. It's more like a hill we're sliding down at ever-increasing speed, Axios' Andrew Freedman reports.

  • During the past few months, we've seen an unprecedented chain of events, all with ties to climate change: a deadly heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that shocked veteran climate researchers ... wildfires raging across the West, well ahead of peak fire season ... and cities and towns flooded in Europe, China and elsewhere.

Optimism has its place in the climate debate:

  • Many of the technologies needed to dramatically reduce emissions, such as renewable energy resources like wind and solar power, are getting more widely adopted. They often have a cost advantage over fossil fuels such as coal and natural gas.
  • Electric vehicles are gaining traction, and money is flowing into next-generation technologies like carbon removal mechanisms.
  • A social movement is pushing for climate action in the U.S. and abroad. And corporations are seeking ways to reduce their emissions in response to pressure from customers and regulators.

But the fact is that we're still on course for at least 3°C (5.4°F) of warming compared to the preindustrial era.

  • The planet has only warmed by about 1.2°C (2.16°F) so far, and we're already seeing the consequences.

Andrew's thought bubble: Being a climate reporter is like being a chronicler of human-caused disasters. My job is to inform, and that means being blunt that climate change is ravaging the Earth.

  • But I also know that too much doom risks leaving people with a sense of fatalism — obscuring the fact that the damage doesn't have to keep getting worse at this pace.

Share this story.

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2. Delta dilemma


Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

Here's the Delta dilemma for government and the media:

  • Reassuring most vaccinated Americans they d0n't need to freak out could backfire if it causes those who are at risk to let down their guard.

Public health experts spent the weekend trying to reassure vaccinated Americans that they're not at a high risk of coronavirus infection, and certainly not of hospitalization or death, Axios' Caitlin Owens reports.

  • At the same time, researchers around the world are trying to determine how much the vaccines' effectiveness against severe disease wanes over time.

Some countries are going ahead with booster shots for immunocompromised and elderly people:

  • Israel has recommended that immunocompromised people and those 60 and older receive a third shot of the Pfizer vaccine.
  • Germany plans to begin offering boosters to the elderly and at-risk beginning in September, AFP reports.
  • U.S. officials increasingly think that at least some Americans will need booster shots in the coming months. Pfizer has also been publicly making the case for boosters.

The bottom line: The vaccines work extremely well, including against Delta. The vaccinated are at much lower risk than those who aren't.

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3. Boston's new history


Clockwise from top left: Boston City Council president Andrea Campbell, acting Mayor Kim Janey, at-large councilor Annissa Essaibi George, former City Council president Michelle Wu. Photos: Getty Images

 

For the first time in history, a white man isn't in serious contention to be the next mayor of Boston, a city with a checkered racial history, Axios' Alexi McCammond reports.

  • Why it matters: The face of Democratic Party politics has changed, with more women and people of color running and winning races.

Boston's seven-candidate field is historically diverse: All but three are women, and all but one are people of color. The primary is Sept. 14.

  • Acting Mayor Kim Janey, who is Black, and city councilor Michelle Wu, who is Asian American, led the field in a Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll in late June.

Wu told Axios: "It’s been a rapid, inspiring transformation in Boston politics over the eight years that I've been honored to serve."

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A message from AT&T

AT&T is connecting communities to their American Dream
 

 

AT&T is making a $2 billion, 3-year commitment to help ensure broadband is more accessible and affordable for more people in the U.S., so low-income families like Susana’s have the opportunity to succeed and thrive.

Find out how.

 
 
4. ⚡ Breaking: Belarus sprinter seeks asylum
Photo: Kim Kyung-Hoon/Reuters

Above: Belarusian sprinter Krystsina Tsimanouskaya, 24, walks into the Polish embassy in Tokyo today to seek asylum, Reuters reports.

  • She refused to board a flight home after she said Belarus officials took her to Haneda Airport against her wishes. Police protected her at the airport. Poland and the Czech Republic publicly offered assistance.

Tsimanouskaya told a Reuters reporter via Telegram that the Belarusian head coach turned up at her room at the athletes' village and told her she had to leave, after she complained about her last-minute entry in a race.

  • The Belarusian Olympic Committee said coaches decided to withdraw her from the Games on doctors' advice about her "emotional, psychological state."

Context: Belarus, a former Soviet state, is run with a tight grip by President Alexander Lukashenko.

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5. Rising gas prices hurt climate action


Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

Cutting oil production before we cut our demand for oil could undermine much of the progress that needs to be made on climate change, Amy Harder writes in her "Harder Line" column.

  • Why it matters: If companies cut back on producing oil but consumers don’t cut back on consuming it, demand will exceed supply. Prices will shoot up. That’s bad for our pocketbooks — and the transition to cleaner energy.

This appears to be the track we're on:

  • Buoyed largely by politics and growing activism, Wall Street is demanding that oil companies invest less in new oil discoveries and more in cleaner energy.
  • In response to that pressure and the collapse in oil prices starting in 2014, overall industry investments in new oil and gas resources have fallen, according to Bob McNally, president of consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group.

Keep reading.

  • Amy Harder, an Axios alumnus, is vice president of publishing at Breakthrough Energy, where she's launching a new journalism initiative.
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6. Push for "PBS for the internet"


Photo illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios. Photos: Nathan Congleton/NBC via Getty Images

 

The idea of a new media ecosystem that's nonprofit and publicly funded is gaining traction as a way to shift the power dynamics in today's information wars, Axios' Kim Hart writes in her "Tech Agenda" column.

A new policy paper from the German Marshall Fund proposes a revamp of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting to fund not just broadcast stations, but a wide range of digital platforms and potential content producers — including independent journalists, local governments, nonprofits and educational institutions.

  • The goal is to increase the diversity of local civic information, leaning on institutions like libraries and colleges that communities trust.

Keep reading.

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7. 🔎 Infrastructure fine print: 2,702 pages

A bipartisan group of senators released the 2,702-page text for their $1 trillion "hard" infrastructure bill late last night, setting a floor debate this week, Axios' Alayna Treene reports.

With the House out for the summer, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer kept senators in town for a rare legislative weekend.

  • The bill needs 60 votes to advance.
  • A final vote could come as soon as this week.

Schumer then plans to move on Democrats' $3.5 trillion budget resolution.

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8. 📈 Startup gusher

Investment in U.S. startups for the first half of 2021 hit $150 billion, eclipsing full-year funding every year before 2020, The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription) from PitchBook data:

  • "From 2016 through 2019, there were on average 35 deals a month with funding rounds that reached $100 million or more, according to data provider CB Insights. This year, it is 126 deals a month."
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9. Ina's Tokyo diary: A momentous match
While waiting for weightlifting, Ina watches U.S. women’s soccer semifinal vs. Canada. Photo: Ina Fried/Axios

Axios' Ina Fried reports from Tokyo: I'm at Tokyo International Forum for the women's over 87-kilogram weightlifting competition (6:50 a.m. ET).

  • The match has attracted attention the way no other story has at the Olympics, with the possible exception of Simone Biles, because of one particular athlete — Laurel Hubbard of New Zealand.
  • There have been other trans and nonbinary athletes at these Games, but Hubbard is set to be the first openly transgender woman to compete when she makes her first lift.

Ina's thought bubble: I've been covering this story for quite a while now, but the momentousness really started to set in on the bus ride over here.

  • I feel tremendously privileged to be here for this moment, in part because if I weren't here, I’m not sure that — despite the crush of press — there would be another transgender reporter here.

Also from Ina this morning: Elite trans athletes decry youth sports bans.

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10. 🎬 What we're watching: Obama doc debuts tomorrow
Photo: Pete Souza/The White House via HBO
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A message from AT&T

AT&T is connecting communities to their American Dream
 

 

AT&T is making a $2 billion, 3-year commitment to help ensure broadband is more accessible and affordable for more people in the U.S., so low-income families like Susana’s have the opportunity to succeed and thrive.

Find out how.

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