| Axios AM
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By
Mike Allen
·Sep 14, 2021
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Good Tuesday morning. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,468 words ... 5½ minutes. Edited by Zachary Basu.  Situational awareness: 80+ world leaders, including President Biden, will speak in person at the UN General Assembly in New York next week.
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1 big thing: Big Lie hits today's California recall
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Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
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The Big Lie — a falsehood peddled by Donald Trump
that his election was stolen — is now being pushed by conservatives in
today's California recall election, Axios' Sara Fischer reports. - Why it matters: Now
that the precedent has been set, more losing pols will use unfounded
allegations of fraud to try to undermine outcomes they don't agree with.
Reality check: There’s been no evidence of widespread fraud in the California election, or the 2020 election. Right-wing media and political figures have already begun alleging that today's recall faced by Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) is "rigged." - Newsom's lead in polls is big enough to withstand major sampling errors, The New York Times' Nate Cohn reports (subscription).
- Conservative radio host Larry Elder polls best to replace him.
Fox Nation host Tomi Lahren said last week that the only thing that would save Newsom in his recall election is "voter fraud." The claim has been pushed by right-wing media outlets and personalities for the past few weeks. - "Does anybody really believe the California Recall Election isn’t rigged?" Trump's "Save America PAC" blasted in an email to supporters yesterday.
What's happening: Tech
platforms, including Twitter and Facebook, implemented systems to
address false allegations of fraud in the 2020 election. But those
systems may not be equipped to handle similar narratives circling
down-ballot elections. - Data from Zignal Labs, a
social-media intelligence firm, finds that between June 1 and Sept. 1,
mentions of terms like "fraud," election "rigging" or "stealing ballots"
received hundreds of thousands of mentions, with occurrences spiking in
the past two weeks.
- Google searches for "voter fraud" in California have increased more than 5x over the past week, according to Google Trends data.
Share this story ... Go deeper: Explainer on how the recall works.
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2. Axios-Ipsos poll: 60% of voters back vaccine mandates
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Data: Axios/Ipsos Poll (1,065 U.S. adults. Margin of error: ±3.2%.) Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios A strong majority of Americans — including suburban voters — support vaccine mandates for federal workers and private companies, Axios' Margaret Talev writes from the Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus Index. - Why it matters: The findings, on the heels of President Biden's mandate announcement last week, suggest his move is politically safer than his opponents hope.
Cliff Young, president of Ipsos U.S. Public Affairs, said Biden's move "especially reinforces himself with independents." - "The No. 1 issue for Biden has been COVID, and he’s been losing ground on it, especially among independents," Young said.
- But Biden "wins no points with Republicans," Young added. "He wins a lot of points with Democrats, but they already support him."
Respondents were asked
separate questions: Do you support the federal government requiring all
federal employees to be vaccinated against COVID? And do you support a
federal government rule that requires all businesses with 100 or more
employees to make all staff be vaccinated or undergo regular COVID
testing? - Overall responses were virtually identical: 60% supported both, and 38-40% opposed both.
Share this graphic.
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3. What it takes for citizens in space
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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
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The all-civilian SpaceX Inspiration4 crew —
launching from Florida tomorrow at 8:02 p.m. ET — will test how much
risk ordinary people will take to build humanity's future in space, Axios Space author Miriam Kramer writes. - Private individuals can't count on government regulations to keep them safe when they fly to space with private companies.
- The FAA
is allowed to regulate a private, crewed launch for the safety of
people on the ground, but not the "spaceflight participants" flying to
orbit or suborbital flights.
- Keep reading.
 Just dropped: Part IV, "Risk," of Axios' "How it Happened: The Next Astronauts" podcast, which is following the Inspiration4 crew.
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A message from Amazon
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Tomorrow is Amazon Career Day 2021
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This Career Day, Amazon is hiring for:
- Over 40,000 corporate and tech roles across 220+ U.S. locations.
- Tens of thousands of hourly positions within the company’s operations network.
The takeaway: Amazon Career Day is open to all, regardless of experience or professional background.
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4.  Stat du jour
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A contractor guards a NATO supply truck in Afghanistan in 2010. Photo: Rahmatullah Naikzad/AP
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One-third to half of the $14 trillion spent by the Pentagon since 9/11 went to for-profit defense contractors, according to a study by Brown University's Costs of War project and the Center for International Policy. (AP)
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5. School lines often reflect 1930s discrimination
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Children
sit on the steps of Malverne High School in Malverne, N.Y., in 1962,
with picket signs supporting integrated education. Photo: Marvin
Sussman/Newsday via Getty Images Today's school boundaries in many cities are still linked to a history of housing segregation that goes back to the 1930s, Axios' Russell Contreras writes from a new study. - Why it matters: These
boundaries largely determine which schools students will attend, and in
many parts of the country they're reinforcing segregation and
inequality, despite years of strides.
The National Urban League examined over 65,000 school attendance boundaries. - More than 2,000 pairs of adjacent public school boundaries had vastly different racial compositions on either side, the report found.
- Many of today's school attendance
boundaries closely track old maps of redlining — a practice explicitly
designed to keep Black Americans out of certain neighborhoods.
Keep reading ... Read the report.
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6. Harder Line: Rich vs. poor countries
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Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios
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The urgency of tackling global warming is colliding
with the world’s deeply uneven use of heat-trapping energy resources
that are causing it, Amy Harder writes in her final "Harder Line" column for Axios. - Why it matters: The long-simmering debate over the role of rich and poor countries in tackling climate change is reaching a boiling point.
Rich countries
in North America and Europe, which have built their economies on oil,
natural gas and coal, are calling for drastic cuts in burning these
fuels. Leaders of poorer nations, particularly in Africa, are urging
lenience for their still-developing economies. Amy Harder is launching Cipher, by Breakthrough Energy, on Sept. 29 (Details from Sara Fischer here). To keep following Amy, sign up for her weekly newsletter.
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7.  Out today: Evan Osnos on America's fury
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Cover: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
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One of the books of the year ... "Wildland,"
by The New Yorker's Evan Osnos, draws the backstory to America's rage
through deep reporting and "thousands of hours of conversations" in
three places he lived before D.C.: - Greenwich, where he grew up ... Clarksburg, W.Va., where he was a young photog for The Exponent Telegram ... and Chicago, where he was a metro reporter for The Tribune before becoming Beijing correspondent.
- "This book is the story of a crucible, a period bounded by two assaults on the country's sense of itself" — 9/11 and 1/6, Osnos writes.
"Reporting this book spanned six years, 10,172 miles, and the arrival of two kids," Evan tells me. The
moment I knew I had to write this book was August 6, 2015 — the night
of the first Republican presidential debate, which I watched at the home
of some Trump supporters in Ohio. The host was drinking from a coffee
cup with a swastika on it. I had absolutely no expectation that Trump
would win, but I decided that a pre-history of Trump would be vitally
necessary someday, to understand how he became remotely possible in
American politics. After Trump won, Osnos
realized that the best way to write about that era in Washington "was by
getting outside of it, by documenting how he was reverberating through
this country": I
had no idea when the book would end. But standing at the foot of the
Capitol on Jan. 6, reporting for The New Yorker, I knew this project had
reached its conclusion. In the book, I write of that moment: "The scene
unfolding at the Capitol was like an inferno powered by the cynicism,
unreason, and deception in U.S. politics." More on "Wildland."
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8. Hyper-politics boosts civics
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Data: Annenberg Public Policy Center. Chart: Will Chase/Axios Americans know more about the three branches of government than ever before, likely due to the massive increase of politics in our media diets, Axios Media Trends expert Sara Fischer writes. - "This knowledge appears
to have been purchased at a real cost," said Kathleen Hall Jamieson,
director of Penn's Annenberg Public Policy Center. "It was a contentious
year in which the branches of government were stress-tested."
An annual civics study by the Annenberg Center finds that a more polarized society knows more about the basics of government. - In 2021, 56% of Americans were able to name all three branches of government, up from 33% in 2006.
 More than half of Americans
(61%) incorrectly said that the First Amendment requires Facebook to
let all Americans express themselves freely on its platform.
- Nearly half of Americans (49%) believe it's accurate that arresting the Jan. 6 Capitol rioters violates their constitutional rights.
Share this story.
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9. First look: New push on entrepreneurial equity
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Amaya Smith, founder of Product Junkie, prepares orders for online customers. Photo: Cheriss May/Bloomberg via Getty Images
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A new partnership between the National Urban League
and the moderate Democratic think tank Third Way aims to help level the
playing field for women and minority entrepreneurs, Axios' Hope King writes. - The initiative,
Alliance for Entrepreneurial Equity, seeks to create an agenda of
policies that will eventually be supported by Congress and President
Biden.
- Expected to be on that agenda: Equalizing access to capital, networks and markets for minority and women entrepreneurs.
Keep reading.
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10. Pics du jour
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Photo: Evan Agostini/Invision/AP Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) wore the purple, white and gold of the suffrage movement, with sashes promoting equality.
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A message from Amazon
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Amazon hiring 40,000 corporate and tech jobs
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FEATURED BIOGRAPHY
Dante
Italian poet
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FEATURED EVENT
1847
Mexico City captured by U.S. forces
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1985: The American sitcom The Golden Girls debuted on American television; known for its focus on older women—played by Betty White, Rue McClanahan, Beatrice Arthur, and Estelle Getty—and for tackling timely topics, the series became hugely popular. [Sort fact from fiction in our pop culture quiz.]
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Nas
American rapper and songwriter
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