Monday, October 12, 2020

BREW WITH HEADLINES

October 12, 2020

Daily Brew

TOGETHER WITH

Tushy

Good morning. Today is Columbus Day, or as it’s increasingly known, Indigenous Peoples’ Day. In 1989, South Dakota became the first state to swap out a celebration of Christopher Columbus to honor Native Americans who were subjected to European colonial rule for centuries. Many states, cities, and universities have also made the switch in recent years.

Still, it remains a federal holiday, which means the bond markets are closed and so are most banks. Whether you’re working today or relishing the final few hours of a three-day weekend, we hope it’s a good one.

MARKETS YTD PERFORMANCE


NASDAQ

11,579.94

+ 29.06%

S&P

3,477.13

+ 7.63%

DJIA

28,586.90

+ 0.17%

GOLD

1,936.30

+ 27.39%

10-YR

0.777%

- 114.30 bps

OIL

40.52

- 33.80%

*As of market close

  • Global economy: The IMF and World Bank kick off their annual meetings today (virtually). Most economies around the world have rebounded slightly off their lows, but they’re nowhere near pre-Covid output levels.
  • Stimulus: Sorry for sounding like a broken record, but lawmakers failed to make progress on a new coronavirus aid package this weekend. Both Republicans and Democrats said they wouldn’t support the White House’s $1.8 trillion proposal.
  • Stocks: Despite those headlines, stocks are coming off their best week since the summer. Starting this week: Q3 earnings season.

Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images

Last night, the Los Angeles Lakers closed out the Miami Heat to win the NBA championship, ending the weirdest—but most impactful—season in league history.

The legacy: The NBA's coronavirus "bubble" will be remembered as one of the most impressive business achievements of the pandemic.

The backstory: The league paused its season on March 11, that wild day the WHO declared Covid-19 a global pandemic, the Dow crashed 1,465 points, and Tom Hanks announced he tested positive. 

As states started to ease business restrictions, sports leagues that had paused their seasons were figuring out how to restart safely. NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, partnering with the players association, went for a moonshot with a self-contained “bubble” at Florida’s ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.

  • To keep basketball players in and the virus out, the league implemented super-strict health protocols. Family and friends couldn’t even arrive until the second round of the playoffs.

Major storylines

Following the social unrest in the spring, the NBA had made Black Lives Matter messaging a focal point of the restart—but no one was prepared when players refused to play following the police shooting of a Black man in Kenosha, WI. The strike was “historic, front-page news that connected sports, politics, racial protests, and labor relations,” writes the Washington Post’s Ben Golliver.

New entrepreneurs emerged. Heat star Jimmy Butler started a coffee shop, Big Face Coffee, out of his hotel room. He appeared to file three trademarks for the brand in September.  

It wasn’t a complete success story. The NBA, like many other sports leagues, is suffering from awful TV ratings. Experts think there are a number of contributing factors, but they point to the crowded fall sports calendar as the most likely cause of the viewership dip. 

Looking ahead...the bubble worked this season, but there’s another one right around the corner—and the pandemic isn’t going away. Adam Silver’s follow-up act may be more difficult than the first.

        

MARKETS

Markets Try on Their Pundit Bow Ties

The U.S. presidential election is 22 canvassing-call-filled days out. Market watchers are playing Nate Silver to game out the polls...which are currently leaning toward a Biden victory. 

  • Biden won in 86 out of the 100 outcomes simulated by Silver’s FiveThirtyEight website. 

In equities: Wall Street is down with aviators in the Oval, despite initial worries about higher capital gains taxes under a President Joe. JPMorgan strategists are pricing in a temporary drag on stocks in Q4 in the event of a Biden win, followed by a recovery next year. 

  • Why the optimism? With bonds and cash offering only razor-thin or even negative yields, stocks remain the only viable option for investors to make real cheddar. 
  • Under a Biden administration, Raymond James forecasts an exodus out of tech stocks and into sectors favored by additional coronavirus stimulus packages. 

In currencies: Chinese investors are also bullish on Biden. The onshore yuan rallied the most in 13+ years last week in hopes of a “blue wave” of Democrat victories diminishing trade tensions.

        

Virgin Orbit/Getty Images

Richard Branson’s Virgin Orbit is looking to raise between $150 million and $200 million at a roughly $1 billion valuation, the WSJ reported yesterday. LionTree Advisors and Perella Weinberg will help it gin up the cash. 

Nope, not Virgin Galactic—this is the other one. Virgin Galactic does space tourism for people, and Virgin Orbit does space tourism for satellites; it launches smaller satellites into orbit for government and commercial customers. 

  • Or...it hopes to eventually. It hasn’t yet put a payload into orbit, and an initial demonstration flight in May failed. Analysts estimate that the company has spent at least $400 million in development, much more than rivals. 
  • Virgin Orbit also takes a different approach to launches. It’s more nimble, launching satellites from moving aircraft rather than the ground. 

Big picture: Pre-Covid, the space space was already a tricky one for startups. Then, when the pandemic hit, investors got even stingier. But interest in Virgin Orbit’s flexible launch system is creeping back. 

        

SPONSORED BY TUSHY

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Tushy

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Creative Touch Imaging Ltd./NurPhoto via Getty Images

This week, retailers including Target and Walmart are launching big sales events to compete against Amazon Prime Day, which starts tomorrow.

Their secret weapon, per CNBC? Curbside pickup. 

What that is: When you place an online order, then get in your car and drive to the store’s parking lot to pick it up. 

It’s been a game-changer for retailers during the pandemic, the NYT reports. Target’s curbside sales increased more than 700% last quarter, and of Best Buy’s nearly $5 billion in Q2 online revenue, 41% came from pickup orders.

Why is it so popular?

  • For customers: As much as having an item shipped to you is convenient, you can always get something faster if you go to the store.
  • For retailers: The “last mile” of delivery is a notoriously difficult (and expensive) logistical nut to crack. With curbside pickup, customers do that for you.

Looking ahead...the big question is whether curbside will remain popular when the pandemic is over and browsing in a store doesn’t require battle gear.

        

Apple

New iPhones! Corporate earnings! Canadian Thanksgiving! We've got a lot to be grateful for this week, especially our friends up north.

Monday: Senate Judiciary Committee begins confirmation hearings for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett; Canadian Thanksgiving

Tuesday: Apple’s virtual iPhone event; Amazon Prime Day begins; Consumer Price Index; earnings (JPMorgan, Johnson & Johnson, Delta, Citigroup, BlackRock)

Wednesday: Billboard Music Awards; earnings (Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, UnitedHealth, United Airlines)

Thursday: West Wing reunion episode; earnings (Morgan Stanley, Walgreens Boots Alliance)

Friday: Retail sales for September

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Hurricane Delta left more than 400,000 households and businesses (mainly in Louisiana) without power Sunday morning.
  • Triller, a growing TikTok competitor, is exploring a deal to go public via a SPAC, per Reuters.
  • Saudi Arabia’s National Commercial Bank will buy Samba Financial Group in a $14.8 billion deal. The combined company will control 25% of the Saudi banking sector. 
  • Twilio, a $46 billion cloud communications company, is buying customer data infrastructure startup Segment for $3.2 billion, per Forbes.
  • Rafael Nadal continued to amaze in Paris. He won his 20th Grand Slam title at the French Open.
  • Covid-19 Essentials is likely the first retail chain in the U.S. dedicated to coronavirus products, reports the NYT.

BREW'S BETS

No beauty filter here, just award-winning mascara. Thrive Causemetics’ Liquid Lash Extensions won’t just get you rave reviews, they’re also an Allure Award winner. And now you can get these award-winning lashes for 15% off.*

The need for robot kitchen assistants leaped forward by 7 years. So you can either be 7 years behind or invest in Flippy today. It’s the world’s first autonomous robotic kitchen assistant that can increase restaurant profit margins by 300%. Invest or get left in the past.*

Hey, Google: Here’s how to optimize Google Drive and simplify nearly every corner of your life (h/t our Essentials newsletter). 

Documentary ideas: This week, learn a thing or two by watching the amazing documentaries found on this website (h/t Recomendo).

*This is sponsored advertising content

FROM THE CREW

Start Talking

Every Monday, we curate a handful of balanced resources about a hot-button business issue and encourage you to discuss with friends, family, or coworkers.

This week’s topic: Months into their tug-of-war over a new pandemic relief package, lawmakers and the White House are continuing to butt heads over how much federal aid to give cash-strapped state and local governments. Of the $2.6 trillion the government has spent on economic relief, $291 billion has gone to state, local, and tribal governments. Is that enough? 

  • Where states are losing their money (House Committee on the Budget)
  • Just how much is Covid-19 impacting state and local revenues? (Brookings)
  • What Democrats and Republicans are fighting over (The Hill)
  • The National Governors Association has repeatedly asked the federal government for an additional $500 billion (StateScoop)
  • State and local governments are fighting over where the money flows (WaPo)

GAMES

Brew Crossword

Today's puzzle, made by Eric Howell, is one of our favorite Brew Crosswords to date. You'll see why when you try completing it.

Remember, you, too, can submit your own Brew Crossword to be featured in this here section. Check out the guidelines.


Columnists
Flying the Flag Is a Secret Trump Handshake

Kurt Schlichter


It’s Time To Get Real About November

Derek Hunter


Signs That Trump Isn’t Going to Win on Nov. 3

Kevin McCullough


Dems and Media Remain Silent About WHO's Change on Lockdowns

Brad Slager


If We Don’t Fight Back Against Corona Fascism, It Will Never End

Scott Morefield



The U.S. Economy Is Roaring Back

Harrison Dunn


Exactly Why Trump Will Win

Jeff Davidson


How Many Young Black Men Has Lebron James Sentenced to Death?

Carl Jackson


Pray for Joe Biden

Katherine Blakeman


ADVERTISEMENT
Drug Price Controls: Right Objective, Wrong Solution

Bob Beauprez


Big Tech Censorship is Finally Now Coming After the Rest of Us Conservatives

Rachel Alexander


Amy Coney Barrett Will Defend America’s Borders and Laws

Dale Wilcox


A Suburban Mom’s View of the 2020 Election

Kimberly Fletcher


1619 - The Left’s Final Assault on America

Scot Faulkner


Regeneron, Trump, and the Alleged Hypocrisy of the Pro-Life Movement

Michael Brown


Surprise Medical Bills Are a Problem, But a Lot Is Riding on Fixing Them the Right Way

Mario Lopez



Video
Gov. Evers: Saying Abortionists 'Execute Babies' Is 'Blasphemy'
Trump blasts Schiff as 'political hack'

Pelosi's condescension offers some laughs
Pelosi open to border infrastructure
INVESTING
Dave Says: On Buying Your Next Car With Cash

How Do We Rescue Young People From Socialism?

Where Is The Biblical Entrepreneurial Discipleship?


Tipsheet
Oops: WHO Now Says Lockdowns Are a Bad Idea That Should Be Avoided

Bronson Stocking


'It's Not Unconstitutional': Jake Tapper Shreds Kate Bedingfield Over Biden's Take on the Supreme Court

Beth Baumann


Here Are 21 Instances Where COVID Wasn't a Concern for Senate Judiciary Dems

Beth Baumann


Sasse Rails Against Democrats' 'Suicide Bombing of Two Branches of Government'

Bronson Stocking


Local Reporter Notes Biden-Harris Campaign Event Was Boring and Lacked Fanfare

Bronson Stocking


Well, This Democrat Became the First Senate Candidate to Confess Support for Court Packing

Bronson Stocking


'Court Reform': How a MSM Reporter Is Changing the Biden Narrative on the Supreme Court

Beth Baumann


RNC Chair Unloads on Debate Commission for Election Interference

Bronson Stocking


NFL Plans to Drop 'National Coming Out' Day Ad This Weekend

Beth Baumann


Shameless Media Peddling Democrat Propaganda on Court Packing

Bronson Stocking


ADVERTISEMENT
Political Cartoons
Bearing Arms
1-In-5 Gun Owners Got Another Gun Due To Riots | Tom Knighton

Portland's Antifa-Loving Mayoral Candidate Has Thoughts On Gun Control | Cam Edwards

Reader Review: Springfield Armory's Hellcat Takes CCW To Next Level | BA Staff

Breaking News

 

 NATIONAL STORIES

These are the deadlines you can't miss.
Commitment 2020: Breaking down when, where, and how to vote in the election »
The second presidential debate has been canceled.
2nd presidential debate canceled »


Joe Biden is set to make his first general election campaign visit Monday to Ohio
Joe Biden's Monday Ohio visit marks a tightening race in state once thought a longshot »

From not using the right color ink to missing deadlines, here are some of the ways your vote could be rejected and how to avoid those issues.
Will your mail-in vote be counted? How to avoid 'naked ballot' problems, other issues »

What if Joe Biden held an event and no one came? Oh that HAPPENED..

Kentucky Gov. Beshear Goes Into Quarantine

‘Burn your masks’ now that COVID emergency orders have been struck down

President Trump Extensive Interview With Maria Bartiromo…


October 12
Luciano Pavarotti
FEATURED BIOGRAPHY

Luciano Pavarotti

READ MORE
 
Landing of Columbus
FEATURED EVENT
1492
New World sighted

READ MORE
 
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MORE EVENTS ON THIS DAY
Kofi Annan
2001: The centennial Nobel Prize for Peace was awarded to the United Nations and the organization's secretary-general, Kofi Annan. [ How much do you know about the Nobel Prize?]
USS Cole attack
2000: While preparing to refuel in the Yemeni port of Aden, the USS Cole , a U.S. naval destroyer, was attacked by suicide bombers associated with al-Qaeda; 17 sailors were killed and 39 wounded.
Wilt Chamberlain and Bill Russell
1999: American basketball player Wilt Chamberlain, who was considered one of the greatest offensive players in the history of the game, died at age 63. [Take our basketball quiz.]
post-signing of the Hate Crimes Prevention Act
1998: American college student Matthew Shepard died in Fort Collins, Colorado, several days after being beaten by two men and left in the cold in Laramie, Wyoming; Shepard's homosexuality was believed to have motivated the attack, and his death contributed to the expansion of federal hate-crime legislation.
Equatorial Guinea
1968: Equatorial Guinea gained its independence from Spain. [Sort fact from fiction in our quiz about Africa.]
Edith Cavell
1915: During World War I, English nurse Edith Cavell was executed for assisting Allied soldiers in escaping from German-occupied Belgium. [Test your knowledge of World War I.]
SEE ALL EVENTS ON THIS DAY
ALSO BORN ON THIS DAY
1968
Hugh Jackman
Australian performer
1798
Pedro I
emperor of Brazil
1537
Edward VI
king of England and Ireland
1935
Luciano Pavarotti
Italian opera singer
1975
Marion Jones
American athlete
1872
Ralph Vaughan Williams
British composer
SEE ALL BIOS ON THIS DAY

 

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